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Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc (STRW) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $182M

SF Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc logo Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc STRW · US
Price$14.17
Fair Value$20.60
Upside+45.4%
Quality43/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.41% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.11 – $41.21 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +6.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 45% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.11 to $41.21). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$14.62 $4.86 Fair Value $20.60 Sep 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range $4.86 – $14.62 · fair‑value band $6.11 – $41.21 · the $14.17 price screens below the $20.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc (STRW) currently trades at $14.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.60, implying the stock looks roughly 45.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc generated revenue of $158M at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 51.9%. Net debt stands at $760M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.11 (bear case) to $41.21 (bull case); at $14.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 45%, STRW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.91 $57.05 $119.34 80
Residual Income $2.53 $3.07 $12.21 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.53 $50.56 $113.01 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.47 $54.91 $148.09 38
5Y Revenue Exit $4.53 $53.46 $122.27 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.99 $134.69 $259.63 41
10Y Revenue Exit $4.89 $49.69 $123.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $27.84 $102.94 $229.40 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.96 $6.63 $8.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.96 $6.29 $7.14 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $7.19 $9.59 $11.99 58
P/B Multiple $1.35 $1.80 $2.25 55
EV/EBIT $47.07 $81.60 $116.13 53
EV/EBITDA $67.79 $109.22 $150.65 54
EV/Revenue $0.0600 $24.30 $48.55 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4500 $0.6000 $0.9000 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.91 $57.05 $119.34 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.53 $50.56 $113.01 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.53 $3.07 $12.21 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($54.91) versus Asset-Based ($0.6000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $158M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 51.9%
Free cash flow $90.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 21.2
More key figures
Operating margin 55.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.6400
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.6%
Net debt $760M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc., is a self-administered real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership, acquisition, development and leasing of skilled nursing and certain other healthcare-related properties.

Full company description

Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc., is a self-administered real estate investment trust engaged in the ownership, acquisition, development and leasing of skilled nursing and certain other healthcare-related properties. The Company's portfolio includes 143 healthcare facilities with an aggregate of 15,600+ beds, located throughout the states of Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Texas. The 143 healthcare facilities comprise 131 skilled nursing facilities, 10 assisted living facilities, and two long-term acute care hospitals. Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 in Maryland and is based in South Bend, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc reported revenue of $155M in FY2025 versus $87.0M in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was $7.6M in FY2025, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$155M
Latest YoY
+32.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Revenue +15.5%/yr
FY21 $87.0M
FY22 $92.5M
FY23 $99.8M
FY24 $117M
FY25 $155M
Net income +9.2%/yr
FY21 $5.3M
FY22 $1.9M
FY23 $2.5M
FY24 $4.1M
FY25 $7.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STRW

Peer Group

REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +45% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 65.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Healthcare Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 15.05× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 94 · sector 0
FUTURE 36 · sector 30
PAST 100 · sector 21
HEALTH 0 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 68 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Healthcare Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Welltower Inc WELL $231.59 $42.21 -82%
Ventas, Inc VTR $100.53 $18.07 -82%
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc OHI $51.72 $33.69 -35%
Healthpeak Properties, Inc DOC $22.27 $7.02 -68%
American Healthcare REIT, Inc AHR $56.38 $11.04 -80%
CareTrust REIT, Inc CTRE $43.25 $23.07 -47%
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated HR $21.40 $20.60 -4%
Aedifica NV AED €69.85 €36.17 -48%
Chartwell Retirement Residences CSHUN C$22.81 C$3.52 -85%
Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc SBRA $22.36 $10.49 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc (STRW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.60 versus a price of $14.17, about +45% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STRW?
Our model-based fair value for Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc is $20.60 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.17.
What is the quality score of STRW?
Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc (STRW)?
Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $158M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STRW?
The net profit margin of Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc pay a dividend?
Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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