Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd stock $5.68, price $11.17, that is 49.2% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.89 – $11.57 · fair‑value band $5.47 – $10.06 · the $11.17 price screens above the $5.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co., Ltd. engages in the cement business in Japan and internationally. It operates through Cement, Mineral Products, Building Materials, Photoelectrons, New Materials, and Others segments.
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The company offers cement, cement-based solidification materials, electric power supply, recycling, and ready-mix concrete; limestone, aggregate, calcium carbonate, dolomite, and silica powder; optical communication components and measuring equipment; and ceramic products and nanoparticle materials.
It is also involved in repair and reinforcement materials for concrete structures, heavy metal pollution control materials, cathodic protection (ELGARD SYSTEM), and fish reefs and seaweed beds; and real estate leasing, information processing services, and electrical construction work which utilize idle land.
The company was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) currently trades at $11.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.68, 49% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.74 per share, and 5 of the 23 models we run sit above the $11.17 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.00, and 18 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $5.47 (bear) to $10.06 (bull), the price of $11.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥225B in FY2026 versus ¥184B in FY2022, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥11.3B in FY2026, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.5B Mid · P/E ratio 33.0 · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) $0.7900 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −49%, SUCEF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$5.47Fair Value $5.68Bull$10.06
Price $11.17 · Downside -49.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4164 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFn/a$0.2800>$1.1277
Residual Income$10.49$10.93$11.7576
Growth DCFn/a$0.3600>$1.4475
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFn/a$0.2800>$1.1277
Owner Earningsn/a$0.6500$2.3473
5Y Revenue Exit$3.16$6.66$11.8269
5Y EBITDA Exit$8.46$15.75$25.5273
5Y P/E Exit$3.52$7.27$11.7968
10Y Revenue Exit$1.55$4.22$7.2563
10Y EBITDA Exit$5.07$10.10$15.7966
10Y P/E Exit$2.00$4.61$7.2362
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$5.09$7.08$8.2567
EPV$3.63$4.67$5.5974
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$2.48$2.75$3.1569
DDM Multi-Stage$2.48$3.24$4.2867
Multiples
P/E Multiple$9.55$12.74$15.9263
P/S Multiple$9.55$12.74$15.9258
P/B Multiple$28.84$38.45$48.0755
EV/EBIT$4.91$8.10$11.3064
EV/EBITDA$14.01$20.24$26.4667
EV/Revenue$3.64$7.19$10.7551
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$6.41$8.59$12.8254
Growth DCF
Growth DCFn/a$0.3600>$1.4475
Economic Profit
Residual Income$10.49$10.93$11.7576
ROIC Compounder$3.63$4.67$5.5972
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$6.81$9.72$12.6467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.4% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−15.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16.0% vs −11.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.7% a year for the price and +4.2% for the forecasts.
Compare Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−49.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.2% · Above median
Return on assets3.1% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)6.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.68 versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $11.17, about 49% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SUCEF?
Our model-based fair value for Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is $5.68 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 30, 2026): $11.17.
What is the quality score of SUCEF?
Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.68 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.47, optimistic scenario $10.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.68, about 49% lower versus the last price from Oct 30, 2026 of $11.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.47, optimistic scenario $10.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥228B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd pays a dividend of $0.109 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.0%. The next ex-dividend date is Mar 30, 2027. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2004. The payout ratio is 34.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.48 times. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 1.0% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 1.0% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What growth is priced into Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +41.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.2 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SUCEF use?
Our models discount Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.52, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd that is +41.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd grew -1.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +41.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (+41.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.13 %: that much free cash flow Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd it is $5.68 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $11.17. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, SUCEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.17, fair value $5.68, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SUCEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.68). For Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd the two are $5.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $11.17; our models calculate a fair value of $5.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SUCEF?
Our models span a range for Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd: cautious scenario $5.47, base $5.68, optimistic $10.06 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $11.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SUCEF?
Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.0 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 13.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, Vulcan Materials Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $11.17, calculated fair value $5.68 (−49%), Quality Score 41/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SUCEF calculated?
We run Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd through 23 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $5.68 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 30, 2026 and stands at $11.17. Our model-based fair value is $5.68, about 49% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($5.47 to $10.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) come from?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd grew −5.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.6 %, EBIT margin −7.9 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The market capitalisation of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is 1.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd are $0.7900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The dividend yield of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is 1.0% (payout 13.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The net margin of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is 5.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
The operating margin of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
Revenue at Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is growing +11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF)?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd are growing +121% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd (SUCEF) carry?
The net debt of Sumitomo Osaka Cement Co. Ltd is ¥70.2B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 37.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026