Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS stock TRY 77.03, price TRY 170, upside -54.8%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 53.34 TRY – 639.76 TRY · fair‑value band 68.27 TRY – 89.72 TRY · the 170.30 TRY price screens above the 77.03 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.
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Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi A.S. produces and sells oriented strand board (OSB) panels and glue products in Turkey. The company also provides natural fuel pellets.
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Its products are used in various applications, such as roof sheathing, underlayment for shingles, flooring, and combined and single applications; used in vehicle body manufacturing, interior decoration work, and packaging industry; store, shop construction and decoration, and interior parts of barracks and prefabricated structures; spaces like warehouses, stages, gyms, schools and carpentry applications; construction of moisture-resistant, flat, and insulated surfaces; structural floors, walls, and partitions; and used in wall claddings and under sidings.
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi A.S. was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Balikesir, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS) currently trades at 170.30 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 77.03 TRY, 54.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 172.98 TRY per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the 170.30 TRY price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 15.51 TRY, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 68.27 TRY (bear) to 89.72 TRY (bull), the price of 170.30 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS reported revenue of 589M TRY in FY2025 versus 130M TRY in FY2021, a compound +45.8%/yr. Reported net income was 15.0M TRY in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.0B TRY (≈ $20.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 70.7 · P/S ratio 1.80 · EPS (TTM) 2.41 TRY · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −55%, SUMAS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear68.27 TRYFair Value 77.03 TRYBull89.72 TRY
Price 170.30 TRY · Upside -54.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.00 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.5%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.7%
’18
’19
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−9.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.0% a year for the price.
Compare Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside−54.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)−2.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)−5.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)69.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)70.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.17× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.85× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow29.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)30· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUMAS
Frequently asked questions
Is Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 77.03 TRY versus a price of 170.30 TRY, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SUMAS?
Our model-based fair value for Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is 77.03 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 170.30 TRY.
What is the quality score of SUMAS?
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 77.03 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 68.27 TRY, optimistic scenario 89.72 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 77.03 TRY, about −55% upside versus a price of 170.30 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 68.27 TRY, optimistic scenario 89.72 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 552M TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
Does Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS pay a dividend?
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS currently shows a dividend yield of 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS would have to grow free cash flow by +24.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 6 years revenue grew +46.4 % per year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SUMAS use?
Our models discount Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS at 14.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS that is +24.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS) delivered so far?
Over the past 6 years revenue at Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS grew +46.4 % a year. The price currently implies +24.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (+24.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.43 %: that much free cash flow Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS it is 77.03 TRY per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of 170.30 TRY. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, SUMAS trades above its calculated fair value: price 170.30 TRY, fair value 77.03 TRY, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SUMAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (170.30 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (77.03 TRY). For Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS the two are 93.27 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS worth?
The market values Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS at about 1.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is 170.30 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 77.03 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SUMAS?
Our models span a range for Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS: cautious scenario 68.27 TRY, base 77.03 TRY, optimistic 89.72 TRY per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price 170.30 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SUMAS?
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 70.7 (as of Oct 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 77.03 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SUMAS from its 52-week high?
Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS trades at 170.30 TRY, about 61% below its 52-week high of 433.00 TRY and 9% above the low of 155.90 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 77.03 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Stella-Jones Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price 170.30 TRY, calculated fair value 77.03 TRY (−55%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SUMAS calculated?
We run Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 77.03 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 170.30 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 77.03 TRY, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (89.72 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The market capitalisation of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is 1.0B TRY (≈ $20.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is 1.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
Earnings per share at Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS are 2.41 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 70.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The dividend yield of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is 1.2% (payout 82.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The net margin of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is 25.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
The operating margin of Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is −5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
Revenue at Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS is growing +69.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS (SUMAS)?
Earnings per share at Sumas Suni Tahta ve Mobilya Sanayi AS are growing +116% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Oct 30, 2026