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Supreme Plc owns, (SUP) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 159M GBX

SP Supreme Plc owns, SUP · LSE
Price£1.36
Fair Value£2.61
Upside+92.6%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.86% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range £1.96 – £3.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from £2.93 to £2.61 (−10.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 93% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.96). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£2.03 £0.6290 Fair Value £2.61 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.6290 – £2.03 · fair‑value band £1.96 – £3.27 · the £1.36 price screens below the £2.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Supreme Plc owns, (SUP) currently trades at £1.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.61, implying the stock looks roughly 92.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Supreme Plc owns, generated revenue of £251M at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 17.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.9%. Net debt stands at £7.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £1.96 (bear case) to £3.27 (bull case); at £1.36, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 93%, SUP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £2.35 £3.92 £6.41 80
Residual Income £0.7900 £1.05 £2.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF £2.36 £4.36 £7.26 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings £2.21 £4.14 £7.41 31
5Y P/E Exit £2.38 £4.50 £7.14 38
10Y P/E Exit £2.37 £4.23 £7.23 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £1.05 £6.89 £9.65 54
Lynch FV £2.01 £2.87 £3.73 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.3500 £0.5800 £0.7600 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.3500 £0.5500 £0.6300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £2.42 £3.23 £4.04 63
P/B Multiple £1.96 £2.61 £3.27 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.3800 £0.5100 £0.7600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £2.35 £3.92 £6.41 80
Rev-Margin DCF £2.36 £4.36 £7.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.7900 £1.05 £2.84 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£4.23) versus Asset-Based (£0.5100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 270M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.6%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 22.2%
Free cash flow 26.0M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 9.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.1500
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -29.2%
Net debt 7.4M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Supreme Plc owns, manufactures, and distributes fast-moving branded and discounted consumer goods in the United Kingdom, Ireland, the Netherlands, France, rest of Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Supreme Plc owns, manufactures, and distributes fast-moving branded and discounted consumer goods in the United Kingdom, Ireland, the Netherlands, France, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers batteries under the Energizer, Duracell, JCB, Panasonic, eneloop, Eveready, and Philips brands; and lighting, LED light fittings, bulbs, private label lighting, lamps, and point of sale display solutions under the Eveready, Energizer, JCB, LumiLife, Powermaster, Black+Decker, and luminate brands. It also provides vaping products, such as e-liquids, pod systems, shortfills, vape kits, and consumables under the 88Vape, Elf Bar, Liberty Flights, KiK, IVG, GOLD BAR, T-Juice, and Loop brands; health and wellness products, including Powders, Ready to drink beverages, Snacks, Tablets and Capsules, and Meal Replacements under the Sci-Mx, Battle Bites, Sealions, Millions & Millions, and Protein Dynamix brands; and drinks and hot beverages under the Perfectly Clear, Northumbria Spring Typhoo Tea, Clearly Drinks, Typhoo QT, Lift, Herbalistas, Heath & Heather, London Fruit & Herb Company, Glengettie, and Rola Cola brands. The company supplies its products to retailers, wholesalers, and online outlets including discounters, and supermarkets. Supreme Plc was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Manchester, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Supreme Plc owns, reported revenue of £270M in FY2026 versus £131M in FY2022, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was £18.0M in FY2026, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£270M
Latest YoY
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Revenue +19.9%/yr
FY22 £131M
FY23 £156M
FY24 £221M
FY25 £231M
FY26 £270M
Net income +7.0%/yr
FY22 £13.7M
FY23 £12.0M
FY24 £22.4M
FY25 £23.5M
FY26 £18.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Supreme Plc owns, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUP

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +93% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.79× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 20
FUTURE 83 · sector 16
PAST 89 · sector 20
HEALTH 100 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 77 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Supreme Plc owns, (SUP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.61 versus a price of £1.36, about +93% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SUP?
Our model-based fair value for Supreme Plc owns, is £2.61 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.36.
What is the quality score of SUP?
Supreme Plc owns, has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Supreme Plc owns, (SUP)?
Supreme Plc owns, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £251M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SUP?
The net profit margin of Supreme Plc owns, is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Supreme Plc owns, pay a dividend?
Supreme Plc owns, currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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