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Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited ₹106, price ₹787, upside -86.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · IN

SV Thin data Oct 2, 2026

Shree Vasu Logistics Limited

SVLL · NSE

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹105.54 · Strongly overvalued (−86.6%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +27.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹867.65 ₹60.00 Fair Value ₹105.54 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹60.00 – ₹867.65 · fair‑value band ₹66.83 – ₹131.93 · the ₹786.75 price screens above the ₹105.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Shree Vasu Logistics Limited engages in the logistics business in India. The company operates through Logistics, Warehousing and allied services, and Retail Trade segments. It also provides carrying and forwarding agency, warehouse renting, packing, transportation and distribution services, and third-party logistics solutions.

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Shree Vasu Logistics Limited engages in the logistics business in India. The company operates through Logistics, Warehousing and allied services, and Retail Trade segments. It also provides carrying and forwarding agency, warehouse renting, packing, transportation and distribution services, and third-party logistics solutions. In addition, the company offers rental and warehousing activities, providing end-to-end integrated supply chain solutions, including predictive planning, real-time tracking, last-mile delivery optimization, allied services, and value-added services. Further, it serves electronics, FMCG, e-commerce, paints, tyres, adhesives, auto parts, automobiles, healthcare, textile, project deliveries, trucking, agriculture, and pesticides industries. Shree Vasu Logistics Limited was founded in 1987 and is based in Raipur, India.

Stock analysis

Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL) currently trades at ₹786.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹105.54, 86.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹536.40 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹786.75 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹23.24, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹66.83 (bear) to ₹131.93 (bull), the price of ₹786.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shree Vasu Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹2.2B in FY2026 versus ₹847M in FY2022, a compound +27.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹57.8M in FY2026, compounding +27.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹9.1B (≈ $94.0M) · P/E ratio 126.9 · P/S ratio 3.27 · EPS (TTM) ₹6.20 · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 15.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 13.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −87%, SVLL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹23.24 to ₹590.75). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹66.83 Fair Value ₹105.54 Bull ₹131.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.14 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹65.17 ₹79.37 ₹90.89 74
Owner Earnings ₹246.98 ₹536.40 ₹1,042 72
Residual Income ₹30.76 ₹35.62 ₹47.77 71
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹246.98 ₹536.40 ₹1,042 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹34.18 ₹238.34 ₹334.47 63
Lynch FV ₹87.92 ₹125.60 ₹163.28 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹87.92 ₹125.60 ₹163.28 57
EPV ₹65.17 ₹79.37 ₹90.89 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹79.16 ₹105.54 ₹131.93 63
P/S Multiple ₹64.08 ₹85.44 ₹106.80 58
P/B Multiple ₹64.08 ₹85.44 ₹106.80 55
EV/EBIT ₹181.50 ₹259.71 ₹337.91 65
EV/EBITDA ₹429.78 ₹590.75 ₹751.71 67
EV/Revenue ₹114.33 ₹186.10 ₹257.87 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹17.34 ₹23.24 ₹34.69 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹30.76 ₹35.62 ₹47.77 71
ROIC Compounder ₹84.02 ₹132.81 ₹163.60 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹112.90 ₹161.28 ₹209.67 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+53.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16.6% vs 22.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
2026 sits 167% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)

SVLL screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 45 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 30.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.60× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 126.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 22.71× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 3.79× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 29.0× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)62 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)20 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $176.85 $175.98 +0%
XPO, Inc XPO $177.37 $70.97 −60%
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $64.19 $54.80 −15%
TFI International Inc TFII $122.37 $112.10 −8%
Saia, Inc SAIA $324.22 $126.27 −61%
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $31.58 $12.37 −61%
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $127.07 $45.71 −64%
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $33.98 $8.24 −76%
Mullen Group MTL C$27.30 C$19.77 −28%
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥4.29 ¥0.9800 −77%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shree Vasu Logistics Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVLL

Frequently asked questions

Is Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹105.54 versus a price of ₹786.75, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SVLL?
Our model-based fair value for Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is ₹105.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹786.75.
What is the quality score of SVLL?
Shree Vasu Logistics Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹105.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹66.83, optimistic scenario ₹131.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shree Vasu Logistics Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹105.54, about −87% upside versus a price of ₹786.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹66.83, optimistic scenario ₹131.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
Shree Vasu Logistics Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shree Vasu Logistics Limited it is ₹105.54 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹786.75. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shree Vasu Logistics Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, SVLL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹786.75, fair value ₹105.54, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SVLL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹786.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹105.54). For Shree Vasu Logistics Limited the two are ₹681.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shree Vasu Logistics Limited worth?
The market values Shree Vasu Logistics Limited at about ₹9.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹786.75; our models calculate a fair value of ₹105.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SVLL?
Our models span a range for Shree Vasu Logistics Limited: cautious scenario ₹66.83, base ₹105.54, optimistic ₹131.93 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹786.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SVLL?
Shree Vasu Logistics Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 126.9 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹105.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 22.7, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 29.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 15.6%, debt of 1.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SVLL from its 52-week high?
Shree Vasu Logistics Limited trades at ₹786.75, about 9% below its 52-week high of ₹867.65 and 64% above the low of ₹479.90 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹105.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shree Vasu Logistics Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, TFI International Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shree Vasu Logistics Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹786.75, calculated fair value ₹105.54 (−87%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SVLL calculated?
We run Shree Vasu Logistics Limited through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹105.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shree Vasu Logistics Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹786.75. Our model-based fair value is ₹105.54, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shree Vasu Logistics Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹131.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹66.83 to ₹131.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL) come from?
Earnings per share at Shree Vasu Logistics Limited grew +19.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +23.9 %, EBIT margin −2.2 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
The market capitalisation of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is ₹9.1B (≈ $94.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is 3.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
Earnings per share at Shree Vasu Logistics Limited are ₹6.20 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 126.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
The net margin of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is 2.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
The operating margin of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
Revenue at Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is growing +30.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL)?
Earnings per share at Shree Vasu Logistics Limited are growing +74.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL) generate?
The free cash flow of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is −₹114M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shree Vasu Logistics Limited (SVLL) carry?
The net debt of Shree Vasu Logistics Limited is ₹2.0B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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