Sovereign Metals Ltd (SVML) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 192M GBX · ISIN AU000000SVM6
What is Sovereign Metals Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 241% above our fair value of £0.0800.
As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Sovereign Metals Ltd is £0.0800 per share against a price of £0.2725, so the fair value sits 71% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +4.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.1000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (£0.0500 to £0.1000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range £0.2100 – £0.4900 · fair‑value band £0.0500 – £0.1000 · the £0.2725 price screens above the £0.0800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Sovereign Metals Ltd (SVML) currently trades at £0.2725, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 240.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −80.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £54.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.0500 (bear case) to £0.1000 (bull case); at £0.2725, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −71%, SVML screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sovereign Metals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource projects in Malawi. The company primary explores rutile and graphite. It holds interest in the Kasiya Rutile-Graphite project located in Malawi. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2017 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sovereign Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$17.5K in FY2021 versus A$59.2K in FY2017, a compound −26.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$40.4M in FY2025.
SVML screens 241% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.84 | A$42.16 | −37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.31 | $8.95 | −42% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 65.50 SAR | 33.87 SAR | −48% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | −12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $69.34 | $32.02 | −54% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | −11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥66.76 | ¥9.55 | −86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | −74% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | −31% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | −13% |
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