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Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Stavely Minerals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000SVY1

SM Thin data Jun 24, 2026

Stavely Minerals Ltd

SVY · AU

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.0170 · Fairly valued (+6%)
!Quality 27/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.4 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.6300 A$0.0100 Fair Value A$0.0170 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0100 – A$0.6300 · fair‑value band A$0.0085 – A$0.0170 · the A$0.0160 price screens below the A$0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Stavely Minerals Limited, a mineral resource company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for copper, cobalt, gold, zinc, nickel, and silver deposits.

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Stavely Minerals Limited, a mineral resource company, engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for copper, cobalt, gold, zinc, nickel, and silver deposits. It holds 100% interests in the Stavely project covering an area of approximately 1,000 square kilometers located west Victoria; the Ararat project that covers an area of approximately 26 square kilometers situated in western margin of the Stawell-Bendigo zone; and Hawkstone Project covering an area of approximately 1001 square kilometres located in the West Kimberley. Stavely Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Nedlands, Australia.

Stock analysis

Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) currently trades at A$0.0160, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0085 (bear) to A$0.0170 (bull), the price of A$0.0160 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Stavely Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$79.5K in FY2025 versus A$40.9K in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$16.5M (≈ $11.6M) · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −51.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −109% · Operating margin −3,473% · Revenue (TTM) A$111K · Revenue growth (YoY) +100% · Free cash flow −A$4.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 6%, SVY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0085 Fair Value A$0.0170 Bull A$0.0170
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) n/a n/a A$0.0100 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) n/a n/a A$0.0100 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−45,426.8% (2020) → −5,251.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −29% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 100% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.87× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)42 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Boliden AB BOL kr 539.40 kr 464.47 −14%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stavely Minerals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SVY

Frequently asked questions

Is Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0170 versus a price of A$0.0160, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SVY?
Our model-based fair value for Stavely Minerals Ltd is A$0.0170 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0160.
What is the quality score of SVY?
Stavely Minerals Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0170 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stavely Minerals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0170, about +6% upside versus a price of A$0.0160 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
Stavely Minerals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$111K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stavely Minerals Ltd it is A$0.0170 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0160. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stavely Minerals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, SVY trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0160, fair value A$0.0170, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SVY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0160); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0170). For Stavely Minerals Ltd the two are A$0.0010 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stavely Minerals Ltd worth?
The market values Stavely Minerals Ltd at about A$16.5M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0160; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0170 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SVY?
Our models span a range for Stavely Minerals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0085, base A$0.0170, optimistic A$0.0170 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0160). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stavely Minerals Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −51.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SVY from its 52-week high?
Stavely Minerals Ltd trades at A$0.0160, about 36% below its 52-week high of A$0.0250 and 33% above the low of A$0.0120 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0170 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stavely Minerals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stavely Minerals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0160, calculated fair value A$0.0170 (+6%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SVY calculated?
We run Stavely Minerals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0170, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Stavely Minerals Ltd currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.0160. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0170, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stavely Minerals Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0085 to A$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Stavely Minerals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
The market capitalisation of Stavely Minerals Ltd is A$16.5M (≈ $11.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
Earnings per share at Stavely Minerals Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stavely Minerals Ltd is −51.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stavely Minerals Ltd is −109% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
The operating margin of Stavely Minerals Ltd is −3,473% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY)?
Revenue at Stavely Minerals Ltd is growing +100% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) generate?
The free cash flow of Stavely Minerals Ltd is −A$4.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Stavely Minerals Ltd (SVY) hold?
Stavely Minerals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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