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Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Black Swan Graphene Inc. stock C$0.12, price C$0.76, upside -84.3%, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA09226M2094

BS Black Swan Graphene Inc. logo Thin data Oct 25, 2026

Black Swan Graphene Inc.

SWAN · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 84% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 46/100
Fair value C$0.1190 · Strongly overvalued (−84.3%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/8)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.24 C$0.5600 Fair Value C$0.1190 Dec 2017 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.5600 – C$2.24 · fair‑value band C$0.0765 – C$0.1530 · the C$0.7600 price screens above the C$0.1190 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.

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Company profile

Black Swan Graphene Inc. engages in the production and commercialization of patented graphene products for industrial sectors in Canada. It offers concrete, polymers, Li-ion batteries, and other products. Black Swan Graphene Inc. is based in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN) currently trades at C$0.7600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1190, 84.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.0765 (bear) to C$0.1530 (bull), the price of C$0.7600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Black Swan Graphene Inc. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$7.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$50.3M (≈ $35.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 28.8 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.1400 · Return on equity −52.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −30.6% · Operating margin −104% · Revenue (TTM) C$1.7M · Free cash flow −C$4.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −84%, SWAN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0765 Fair Value C$0.1190 Bull C$0.1530
Price C$0.7600 · Upside -84.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0900 C$0.1400 C$0.1800 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0900 C$0.1400 C$0.1800 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 51
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 11
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 1
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SWAN screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 339 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −84.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −54.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −103.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.77× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 28.75× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥15.22 ¥43.28 +184% vs SWAN
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 255,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +130% vs SWAN
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥22.18 ¥40.44 +82% vs SWAN
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥67.22 ¥73.94 +10% vs SWAN
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥29.72 ¥19.31 −35% vs SWAN
Dow Inc DOW $32.61 $20.98 −36% vs SWAN
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 43.72 SAR 24.66 SAR −44% vs SWAN
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 ¥12.13 ¥3.06 −75% vs SWAN
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 76.20 TWD 17.66 TWD −77% vs SWAN
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥11.63 ¥2.39 −79% vs SWAN

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Black Swan Graphene Inc. · Fair Value
C$0.1190 −84%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Black Swan Graphene Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWAN

Frequently asked questions

Is Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1190 versus a price of C$0.7600, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SWAN?
Our model-based fair value for Black Swan Graphene Inc. is C$0.1190 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.7600.
What is the quality score of SWAN?
Black Swan Graphene Inc. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1190 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0765, optimistic scenario C$0.1530. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Black Swan Graphene Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1190, about −84% upside versus a price of C$0.7600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0765, optimistic scenario C$0.1530. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
Black Swan Graphene Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.7M (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Black Swan Graphene Inc. it is C$0.1190 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of C$0.7600. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Black Swan Graphene Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, SWAN trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.7600, fair value C$0.1190, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SWAN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.7600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1190). For Black Swan Graphene Inc. the two are C$0.6410 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Black Swan Graphene Inc. worth?
The market values Black Swan Graphene Inc. at about C$50.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is C$0.7600; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1190 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWAN?
Our models span a range for Black Swan Graphene Inc.: cautious scenario C$0.0765, base C$0.1190, optimistic C$0.1530 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price C$0.7600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Black Swan Graphene Inc. (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity −52.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SWAN from its 52-week high?
Black Swan Graphene Inc. trades at C$0.7600, about 48% below its 52-week high of C$1.46 and 1% above the low of C$0.7500 (as of Oct 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1190 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Black Swan Graphene Inc.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Rongsheng Petrochemical Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Black Swan Graphene Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price C$0.7600, calculated fair value C$0.1190 (−84%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SWAN calculated?
We run Black Swan Graphene Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1190, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Black Swan Graphene Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
The closing price on Oct 27, 2026 was C$0.7600. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1190, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Black Swan Graphene Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1530). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0765 to C$0.1530) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Black Swan Graphene Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
The market capitalisation of Black Swan Graphene Inc. is C$50.3M (≈ $35.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Black Swan Graphene Inc. is 28.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
Earnings per share at Black Swan Graphene Inc. are C$−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Black Swan Graphene Inc. is −52.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Black Swan Graphene Inc. is −30.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN)?
The operating margin of Black Swan Graphene Inc. is −104% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does Black Swan Graphene Inc. (SWAN) generate?
The free cash flow of Black Swan Graphene Inc. is −C$4.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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