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Swire Pacific Limited (SWRAY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $37.7B

SP Swire Pacific Limited logo Swire Pacific Limited SWRAY · US
Price$10.69
Fair Value$1.80
Upside-83.2%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.35 – $2.25

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from $3.86 to $1.80 (−53.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$11.91 $7.97 Fair Value $1.80 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $7.97 – $11.91 · fair‑value band $1.35 – $2.25 · the $10.69 price screens above the $1.80 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Swire Pacific Limited (SWRAY) currently trades at $10.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80 — implying the stock looks roughly 83.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Swire Pacific Limited generated revenue of $90.5B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at $70.4B. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $90.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.4%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow $8.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 38.5
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.2700
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,793%
Net debt $70.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Swire Pacific Limited engages in the property, aviation, beverages, marine, and trading and industrial businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Taiwan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. The company's Property division develops, owns, and operates mixed-use properties. This division's property investment portfolio comprises office towers, shopping malls, hotels, retail space, star hotels, and serviced apartments, as well as residential projects; and trading portfolio consists of residential properties. It also owns and manages hotels in Hong Kong and Mainland China, as well as owns interests in the Mandarin Oriental hotel in the United States. The company's Aviation division provides flight catering, and passenger and ramp handling services; and owns and operates a cargo terminal at Hong Kong International Airport, as well as offers aircraft maintenance and modification services. Its Beverages division owns rights to manufacture, market, and distribute beverages t…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Swire Pacific Limited reported revenue of $90.3B in FY2025 versus $90.8B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.9B in FY2025, compounding −13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 $90.8B
FY22 $91.2B
FY23 $94.8B
FY24 $82.0B
FY25 $90.3B
Net income −13.0%/yr
FY21 $5.1B
FY22 $4.2B
FY23 $28.9B
FY24 $4.3B
FY25 $2.9B

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Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Swire Pacific Limited (SWRAY) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.80 versus a price of $10.69 — about −83% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SWRAY?
Our 21-model fair value for Swire Pacific Limited is $1.80 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.69.
What is the quality score of SWRAY?
Swire Pacific Limited has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Swire Pacific Limited (SWRAY)?
Swire Pacific Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $90.5B (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SWRAY?
The net profit margin of Swire Pacific Limited is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Swire Pacific Limited pay a dividend?
Swire Pacific Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.