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Symbotic Inc (SYM) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $26.3B

SI Symbotic Inc logo Symbotic Inc SYM · US
Price$39.60
Fair Value$7.45
Upside-81.2%
Quality30/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range $5.74 – $9.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −4.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$87.30 $8.81 Fair Value $7.45 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.81 – $87.30 · fair‑value band $5.74 – $9.15 · the $39.60 price screens above the $7.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Symbotic Inc (SYM) currently trades at $39.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.45, implying the stock looks roughly 81.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Symbotic Inc generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.74 (bear case) to $9.15 (bull case); at $39.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -81%, SYM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $20.62 $39.09 $69.35 72
Gordon GGM $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0500 70
Rev-Margin DCF $13.08 $20.32 $35.59 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $21.81 $33.24 $69.65 38
5Y Revenue Exit $12.11 $17.97 $30.11 39
10Y Revenue Exit $14.84 $26.57 $32.86 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0500 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $7.78 $10.32 $12.85 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1700 $0.2200 $0.3300 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $20.62 $39.09 $69.35 72
Rev-Margin DCF $13.08 $20.32 $35.59 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($26.57) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.1%
Net margin -0.3%
Return on equity -5.7%
Free cash flow $788M FY2025
Operating margin 1.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0800
Net cash $1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Symbotic Inc., an automation technology company, develops technologies to enhance operating efficiencies in modern warehouses. The company automates the processing of pallets, cases, and individual items in warehouses. Its systems enhance operations at the front end of the supply chain. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Symbotic Inc reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $252M in FY2021, a compound +72.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.2B
Latest YoY
+25.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+55.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+89.4%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+67.9%
Revenue +72.8%/yr
FY21 $252M
FY22 $593M
FY23 $1.2B
FY24 $1.8B
FY25 $2.2B
Net income
FY21 −$122M
FY22 −$79.0M
FY23 −$23.9M
FY24 −$13.5M
FY25 −$16.9M

SYM screens 81% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Symbotic Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 10.47× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 33.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

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Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Symbotic Inc (SYM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.45 versus a price of $39.60, about −81% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SYM?
Our model-based fair value for Symbotic Inc is $7.45 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $39.60.
What is the quality score of SYM?
Symbotic Inc has a Quality Score of 30/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Symbotic Inc (SYM)?
Symbotic Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SYM?
The net profit margin of Symbotic Inc is about -0.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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