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SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings (SZK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ZA · Market cap 1.4B ZAC

SZ SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings SZK · JSE
PriceR33.99
Fair ValueR67.98
Upside+100.0%
Quality45/100
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Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range R41.76 – R107.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Below-average quality, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R41.76). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R41.76 to R107.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R177.24 R0.3500 Fair Value R67.98 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R0.3500 – R177.24 · fair‑value band R41.76 – R107.27 · the R33.99 price screens below the R67.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings (SZK) currently trades at R33.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R67.98, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 123M ZAR. Revenue grew 44.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.1%. Net debt stands at 2.4M ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R41.76 (bear case) to R107.27 (bull case); at R33.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 100%, SZK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R12.56 R16.86 R22.07 80
P/E Multiple R102.34 R136.45 R170.57 63
Residual Income R63.30 R79.60 R180.86 61
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit R58.06 R101.72 R146.51 38
10Y P/E Exit R38.57 R69.12 R105.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R71.38 R189.87 R248.24 54
Lynch FV R36.74 R52.48 R68.23 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple R102.34 R136.45 R170.57 63
P/B Multiple R69.03 R92.04 R115.05 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R32.87 R44.05 R65.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R12.56 R16.86 R22.07 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income R63.30 R79.60 R180.86 61

Widest divergence: Multiples (R92.04) versus Growth DCF (R16.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 123M ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) +44.4%
Net margin 327%
Return on equity 30.1%
Free cash flow 55.7M ZAC FY2023
P/E ratio 4.2
More key figures
Operating margin -3.0%
EPS (TTM) R8.06
EPS growth (YoY) -39.9%
Net debt 2.4M ZAC FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings (RF) Limited produces, markets, distributes, and sells beer. Its beer brands include Corona and Stella Artois. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings reported revenue of R0 in FY2023 versus R0 in FY2020. Reported net income was R426M in FY2023.

Revenue
FY20 R0
FY21 R0
FY22 R0
FY23 R0
Net income
FY20 −R553K
FY21 −R749M
FY22 −R40.3M
FY23 R426M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SZK

Peer Group

Shell Companies · 70 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.69× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings (SZK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R67.98 versus a price of R33.99, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SZK?
Our model-based fair value for SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings is R67.98 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R33.99.
What is the quality score of SZK?
SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings (SZK)?
SAB Zenzele Kabili Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 123M ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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