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Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A (TAEE11) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$42.3B

TA Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A TAEE11 · SA
PriceR$39.25
Fair ValueR$13.25
Upside-66.2%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 33.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
8.33% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range R$9.94 – R$33.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from R$13.66 to R$13.25 (−3.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$33.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (R$9.94 to R$33.85). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$44.28 R$22.28 Fair Value R$13.25 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$22.28 – R$44.28 · fair‑value band R$9.94 – R$33.85 · the R$39.25 price screens above the R$13.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A (TAEE11) currently trades at R$39.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$13.25, implying the stock looks roughly 66.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A generated revenue of R$4.7B at a net margin of 33.5%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.6%. Net debt stands at R$10.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$9.94 (bear case) to R$33.85 (bull case); at R$39.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -66%, TAEE11 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$10.12 R$25.32 R$51.98 80
Residual Income R$9.24 R$11.41 R$32.49 76
Rev-Margin DCF R$2.74 R$9.81 R$19.30 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$10.43 R$27.53 R$58.71 38
Owner Earnings R$11.83 R$30.21 R$63.74 31
5Y Revenue Exit R$2.74 R$9.87 R$19.44 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$8.07 R$21.25 R$38.11 41
5Y P/E Exit R$10.32 R$26.06 R$44.58 38
10Y Revenue Exit R$4.85 R$12.66 R$24.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit R$8.71 R$21.17 R$40.75 37
10Y P/E Exit R$10.22 R$24.77 R$46.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$9.98 R$51.97 R$71.88 54
Lynch FV R$14.24 R$20.34 R$26.44 50
PEG = 1.0 R$14.24 R$20.34 R$26.44 46
EPV R$9.89 R$12.91 R$15.56 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$8.70 R$18.09 R$28.71 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$8.70 R$15.26 R$18.99 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$19.81 R$26.41 R$33.02 63
P/S Multiple R$8.05 R$10.74 R$13.42 58
P/B Multiple R$9.54 R$12.72 R$15.90 55
EV/EBIT R$15.56 R$23.49 R$31.43 53
EV/EBITDA R$8.06 R$13.50 R$18.94 54
EV/Revenue R$2.48 R$5.70 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$3.53 R$4.73 R$7.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$10.12 R$25.32 R$51.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF R$2.74 R$9.81 R$19.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$9.24 R$11.41 R$32.49 76
ROIC Compounder R$11.42 R$19.26 R$27.78 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$19.70 R$28.14 R$36.58 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$28.14) versus Asset-Based (R$4.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$4.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 33.5%
Return on equity 20.6%
Free cash flow R$1.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 39.4
More key figures
Operating margin 58.4%
EPS (TTM) R$0.9800
Dividend yield 8.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.2%
Net debt R$10.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction, operation, and maintenance of electric power transmission lines in Brazil.

Full company description

Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction, operation, and maintenance of electric power transmission lines in Brazil. It operates approximately a total length of 15,319 kilometers (km) of transmission lines, which include 14,677 km of transmission lines in operation and 642 km of lines under construction; 113 substations with voltage between 230 and 525KV; and one system operation center located in Rio de Janeiro. The company was founded in 2000 is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A reported revenue of R$4.6B in FY2025 versus R$3.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.6B in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$4.6B
Latest YoY
+24.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+14.1%
Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY21 R$3.5B
FY22 R$2.6B
FY23 R$3.4B
FY24 R$3.7B
FY25 R$4.6B
Net income −8.1%/yr
FY21 R$2.2B
FY22 R$1.4B
FY23 R$1.4B
FY24 R$1.7B
FY25 R$1.6B

TAEE11 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAEE11

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 6.02× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 28 · sector 32
PAST 82 · sector 39
HEALTH 37 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A (TAEE11) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$13.25 versus a price of R$39.25, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TAEE11?
Our model-based fair value for Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A is R$13.25 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$39.25.
What is the quality score of TAEE11?
Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A (TAEE11)?
Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$4.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TAEE11?
The net profit margin of Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A is about 33.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A pay a dividend?
Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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