TalkPool AG (TALK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of TalkPool AG SEK 21.09, price SEK 14.20, upside +48.5%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 3.86 – kr 18.00 · fair‑value band kr 14.16 – kr 29.88 · the kr 14.20 price screens below the kr 21.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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TalkPool AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides network design, engineering, implementation, and managed services to telecommunications operators, system vendors, and prime contractors in the Americas, Europe, and the Middle East.
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TalkPool AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides network design, engineering, implementation, and managed services to telecommunications operators, system vendors, and prime contractors in the Americas, Europe, and the Middle East. It provides network planning, remote site management, and documentation services; and implementation, operation, and maintenance services. The company also provides smart buildings solutions to real estate, construction, and insurance companies. TalkPool AG was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Chur, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
TalkPool AG (TALK) currently trades at kr 14.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 21.09, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 2.81 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 14.20 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at kr 2.20, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 14.16 (bear) to kr 29.88 (bull), the price of kr 14.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
TalkPool AG reported revenue of €17.9M in FY2025 versus €24.5M in FY2021, a compound −7.6%/yr. Reported net income was €978K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 123M SEK (≈ $12.4M) · P/E ratio 16.0 · P/S ratio 0.87 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.8900 · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 35.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.9% · Operating margin 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 49%, TALK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.1700 to kr 3.45). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 14.16Fair Value kr 21.09Bull kr 29.88
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.6510 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 9%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.4%/yr over ~9Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 252 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+49% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)35% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TalkPool AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TALK
Frequently asked questions
Is TalkPool AG (TALK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 21.09 versus a price of kr 14.20, about +49% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TALK?
Our model-based fair value for TalkPool AG is kr 21.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 14.20.
What is the quality score of TALK?
TalkPool AG has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TalkPool AG (TALK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 21.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 14.16, optimistic scenario kr 29.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TalkPool AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 21.09, about +49% upside versus a price of kr 14.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 14.16, optimistic scenario kr 29.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
TalkPool AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €18.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into TalkPool AG (TALK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TalkPool AG would have to grow free cash flow by +7.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TALK use?
Our models discount TalkPool AG at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.20, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TalkPool AG that is +7.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TalkPool AG (TALK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TalkPool AG grew -3.4 % a year. The price currently implies +7.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TalkPool AG (TALK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TalkPool AG (+7.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.76 %: that much free cash flow TalkPool AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TalkPool AG it is kr 21.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 14.20. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TalkPool AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TALK trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 14.20, fair value kr 21.09, a gap of about +49% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TALK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 14.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 21.09). For TalkPool AG the two are kr 6.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TalkPool AG worth?
The market values TalkPool AG at about 123M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 14.20; our models calculate a fair value of kr 21.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TALK?
Our models span a range for TalkPool AG: cautious scenario kr 14.16, base kr 21.09, optimistic kr 29.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 14.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TALK?
TalkPool AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 21.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.3, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
Balance-sheet figures for TalkPool AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 35.0%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TALK from its 52-week high?
TalkPool AG trades at kr 14.20, about 21% below its 52-week high of kr 18.00 and 35% above the low of kr 10.50 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 21.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TalkPool AG?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TalkPool AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 14.20, calculated fair value kr 21.09 (+49%), Quality Score 67/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TALK calculated?
We run TalkPool AG through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 21.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. TalkPool AG currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 14.20. Our model-based fair value is kr 21.09, about +49% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TalkPool AG right now?
Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 14.16 to kr 29.88) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of TalkPool AG
How large is the market capitalisation of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
The market capitalisation of TalkPool AG is 123M SEK (≈ $12.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TalkPool AG is 0.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
Earnings per share at TalkPool AG are kr 0.8900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
The net margin of TalkPool AG is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TalkPool AG is 35.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TalkPool AG is 18.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TalkPool AG (TALK)?
The operating margin of TalkPool AG is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TalkPool AG (TALK)?
Revenue at TalkPool AG is growing +12.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TalkPool AG (TALK)?
Earnings per share at TalkPool AG are growing −71.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does TalkPool AG (TALK) carry?
The net debt of TalkPool AG is €166K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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