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Talkspace, Inc (TALK) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $876M

TI Talkspace, Inc logo Talkspace, Inc TALK · US
Price$5.22
Fair Value$0.7900
Upside-84.9%
Quality63/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.5900 – $0.9900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.9900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.00 $0.5840 Fair Value $0.7900 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5840 – $10.00 · fair‑value band $0.5900 – $0.9900 · the $5.22 price screens above the $0.7900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Talkspace, Inc (TALK) currently trades at $5.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7900, implying the stock looks roughly 84.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Talkspace, Inc generated revenue of $238M at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 18.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $37.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5900 (bear case) to $0.9900 (bull case); at $5.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 135% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -85%, TALK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $1.10 $1.57 $2.04 68
ROIC Compounder $0.3500 $0.3600 $0.3800 67
P/E Multiple $0.7700 $1.02 $1.28 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.2300 $0.2300 $0.2300 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.3200 $2.21 $3.10 54
Lynch FV $0.8500 $1.21 $1.58 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.8500 $1.21 $1.58 46
EPV $0.3500 $0.3600 $0.3800 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.7700 $1.02 $1.28 63
P/S Multiple $0.5900 $0.7900 $0.9900 58
P/B Multiple $0.5900 $0.7900 $0.9900 55
EV/EBIT $0.4600 $0.5400 $0.6200 53
EV/EBITDA $0.6000 $0.7300 $0.8500 54
EV/Revenue $0.3900 $0.4700 $0.5400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3500 $0.4700 $0.7000 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.5300 $0.5400 $0.5200 61
ROIC Compounder $0.3500 $0.3600 $0.3800 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.10 $1.57 $2.04 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1.57) versus DCF Models ($0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $238M
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.2%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 1.0%
Free cash flow −$2.1M FY2025
Operating margin 0.3%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +181%
Net cash $37.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Talkspace, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a virtual behavioral healthcare company that connects patients with licensed mental health providers in the United States.

Full company description

Talkspace, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a virtual behavioral healthcare company that connects patients with licensed mental health providers in the United States. The company provides psychotherapy and psychiatry services to treat various mental health conditions, such as depression, anxiety, trauma, and other fields of human challenges by operating an online platform for one-on-one therapy delivered through messaging, audio, and video channels. It serves health insurance plans and employee assistance programs, direct-to-enterprise customers, and individual subscribers. The company was formerly known as Groop Internet Platform Inc. and changed its name to Talkspace, Inc. in June 2021. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Talkspace, Inc reported revenue of $229M in FY2025 versus $114M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was $7.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$229M
Latest YoY
+22.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.6%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+34.8%
Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY21 $114M
FY22 $120M
FY23 $150M
FY24 $188M
FY25 $229M
Net income
FY21 −$62.7M
FY22 −$79.7M
FY23 −$19.2M
FY24 $1.1M
FY25 $7.8M

TALK screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Talkspace, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TALK

Peer Group

Health Information Services · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 18% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.68× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 91 · sector 33
PAST 4 · sector 7
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $190.12 $95.12 -50%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$194.84 A$23.74 -88%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $68.16 $21.31 -69%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $97.67 $56.63 -42%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $88.80 $24.03 -73%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $45.75 $17.18 -62%
Waystar Holding WAY $22.69 $12.86 -43%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $22.21 $17.18 -23%
Privia Health Group PRVA $28.10 $5.30 -81%
Inventurus Knowledge Solutions Limited IKS ₹1,846 ₹860.28 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Talkspace, Inc (TALK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7900 versus a price of $5.22, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TALK?
Our model-based fair value for Talkspace, Inc is $0.7900 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.22.
What is the quality score of TALK?
Talkspace, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Talkspace, Inc (TALK)?
Talkspace, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $238M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TALK?
The net profit margin of Talkspace, Inc is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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