AS Tallink Grupp, (TALLINK) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FI · Market cap €454M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €0.6100 to €0.9304 (+52.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from €0.5643 (bear) to €0.9304 (bull), base €0.9304. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.3520 – €0.6400 · fair‑value band €0.5643 – €0.9304 · the €0.6220 price screens below the €0.9304 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
AS Tallink Grupp, (TALLINK) currently trades at €0.6220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9304, implying the stock looks roughly 49.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AS Tallink Grupp, generated revenue of €777M at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at €432M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.5643 (bear case) to €0.9304 (bull case); at €0.6220, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at 50%, TALLINK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€0.6800) versus Earnings-Based (€0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AS Tallink Grupp, together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services in the Baltic Sea. The company operates through Estonia-Finland Routes, Estonia-Sweden Routes, Finland-Sweden Routes, and Other segments.
Full company description
AS Tallink Grupp, together with its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services in the Baltic Sea. The company operates through Estonia-Finland Routes, Estonia-Sweden Routes, Finland-Sweden Routes, and Other segments. It offers mini-cruise, passenger transport, and ro-ro cargo services on routes between Estonia, Finland, and Sweden under the Tallink Silja Line brand. The company also operates hotels in Tallinn and Riga; Burger King franchise in the Baltics and restaurants of the fast-food chain in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania; and international travel retail business with various retail outlets on board its vessels and on shore. In addition, it operates a fleet of 11 vessels that include cruise ferries and ro-pax ferries. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Tallinn, Estonia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AS Tallink Grupp, reported revenue of €765M in FY2025 versus €477M in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was €17.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 231 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.35 | ¥5.58 | +67% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.88 | ¥15.97 | +80% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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