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Tanami Gold NL (TAM) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$132M

TG Tanami Gold NL TAM · AU
PriceA$0.0590
Fair ValueA$0.0302
Upside-48.8%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.1250 A$0.0270 Fair Value A$0.0302 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0270 – A$0.1250 · the A$0.0590 price screens above the A$0.0302 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Tanami Gold NL (TAM) currently trades at A$0.0590, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0302, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -13.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$18.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -49%, TAM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 50

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -13.0%
Free cash flow −A$6.5M FY2025
EPS growth (YoY) +194%
Net cash A$18.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tanami Gold NL operates as a gold exploration company in Australia. It holds 50% interest in the Central Tanami project covering an area of 2,108 square kilometers located in the Tanami Region of the Northern Territory. Tanami Gold NL was incorporated in 1968 and is based in South Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tanami Gold NL reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$115K in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$5.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
A$238K
Latest YoY
+110.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.0%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Revenue
FY21 A$115K
FY22 A$170K
FY23 A$113K
FY24 A$238K
FY25 A$0
Net income
FY21 −A$1.3M
FY22 A$8.0M
FY23 −A$3.5M
FY24 −A$6.1K
FY25 −A$5.8M

TAM screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tanami Gold NL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TAM

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.19× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 100
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tanami Gold NL (TAM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0302 versus a price of A$0.0590, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TAM?
Our model-based fair value for Tanami Gold NL is A$0.0302 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0590.
What is the quality score of TAM?
Tanami Gold NL has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of TAM?
The net profit margin of Tanami Gold NL is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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