Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Trelleborg AB (publ) $28.14, price $43.82, upside -35.8%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $22.79 – $45.96 · fair‑value band $20.02 – $38.02 · the $43.82 price screens above the $28.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Trelleborg AB (publ) provides engineered polymer solutions for seal, damp, and protect critical applications worldwide.
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Trelleborg AB (publ) provides engineered polymer solutions for seal, damp, and protect critical applications worldwide. It offers antivibration solutions; automotive boots and noise damping; bearings and bushings; bridge expansion joints; cable and rubber compounds; electrical protection; embedded rail systems; and engineered coated fabrics and molded parts. The company also provides fenders, docking, and mooring; flat gaskets; floatover solutions; fluid handling solutions; grout seals; inflatable products; medical solutions; hoses for milking equipment; and noise and vibration damping. In addition, it offers oil sand applications; pipe repair and seals; rubber flooring and sheeting; sealing profiles and solutions; ship fenders; squeegees; truck and diesel solutions; tunnel seals; and wear protection solutions. The company offers its solutions to aerospace; agriculture; automotive; building, construction, mining, and marine equipment; healthcare and medical; manufacturing; oil and gas; and rail and mass transit industry. Trelleborg AB (publ) was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Trelleborg, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY) currently trades at $43.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.14, 35.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $31.30 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the $43.82 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $8.58, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $20.02 (bear) to $38.02 (bull), the price of $43.82 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Trelleborg AB (publ) reported revenue of 34.3B SEK in FY2025 versus 33.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6B SEK in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.9B · P/E ratio 24.6 · P/S ratio 2.58 · EPS (TTM) $1.67 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 10.5% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −36%, TBABY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $20.02Fair Value $28.14Bull $38.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.26 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
’19
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 17%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.4% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 790 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−30.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.5% · Above median
Return on assets6.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF2.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)38· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)42· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trelleborg AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TBABY
Frequently asked questions
Is Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.14 versus a price of $43.82, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TBABY?
Our model-based fair value for Trelleborg AB (publ) is $28.14 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $43.82.
What is the quality score of TBABY?
Trelleborg AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $28.14 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $20.02, optimistic scenario $38.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Trelleborg AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $28.14, about −36% upside versus a price of $43.82 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $20.02, optimistic scenario $38.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Trelleborg AB (publ) pay a dividend?
Trelleborg AB (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Trelleborg AB (publ) would have to grow free cash flow by +15.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.9 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TBABY use?
Our models discount Trelleborg AB (publ) at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.88, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Trelleborg AB (publ) that is +15.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Trelleborg AB (publ) grew +0.9 % a year. The price currently implies +15.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Trelleborg AB (publ) (+15.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.64 %: that much free cash flow Trelleborg AB (publ) produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Trelleborg AB (publ) it is $28.14 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $43.82. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Trelleborg AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TBABY trades above its calculated fair value: price $43.82, fair value $28.14, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TBABY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($43.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($28.14). For Trelleborg AB (publ) the two are $15.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Trelleborg AB (publ) worth?
The market values Trelleborg AB (publ) at about $9.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $43.82; our models calculate a fair value of $28.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TBABY?
Our models span a range for Trelleborg AB (publ): cautious scenario $20.02, base $28.14, optimistic $38.02 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $43.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TBABY?
Trelleborg AB (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $28.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Trelleborg AB (publ) (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TBABY from its 52-week high?
Trelleborg AB (publ) trades at $43.82, about 5% below its 52-week high of $45.96 and 88% above the low of $23.36 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $28.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Trelleborg AB (publ)?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Trelleborg AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $43.82, calculated fair value $28.14 (−36%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TBABY calculated?
We run Trelleborg AB (publ) through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $28.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Trelleborg AB (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $43.82. Our model-based fair value is $28.14, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Trelleborg AB (publ) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($38.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($20.02 to $38.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Trelleborg AB (publ)
How large is the market capitalisation of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
The market capitalisation of Trelleborg AB (publ) is $9.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Trelleborg AB (publ) is 2.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
Earnings per share at Trelleborg AB (publ) are $1.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
The dividend yield of Trelleborg AB (publ) is 2.1% (payout 54.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
The net margin of Trelleborg AB (publ) is 10.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Trelleborg AB (publ) is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Trelleborg AB (publ) is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
Revenue at Trelleborg AB (publ) is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY)?
Earnings per share at Trelleborg AB (publ) are growing +6.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Trelleborg AB (publ) (TBABY) carry?
The net debt of Trelleborg AB (publ) is 5.4B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026