PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk (TCID) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 1.1T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price −4.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (998.73 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,504 IDR – 4,024 IDR · fair‑value band 599.24 IDR – 998.73 IDR · the 2,670 IDR price screens above the 798.98 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk (TCID) currently trades at 2,670 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 798.98 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 70.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 2.1T IDR at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 532B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 599.24 IDR (bear case) to 998.73 IDR (bull case); at 2,670 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -70%, TCID screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (3,792 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (173.49 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk manufactures and sells cosmetics and other products in Indonesia. It offers hair care, skin care and make-up, body care, and face care products, as well as perfumes, cleansing materials, and plastic containers.
Full company description
PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk manufactures and sells cosmetics and other products in Indonesia. It offers hair care, skin care and make-up, body care, and face care products, as well as perfumes, cleansing materials, and plastic containers. The company markets its products under the GATSBY, PIXY, PUCELLE, MIRATONE, LUCIDO-L, MANDOM, Tancho, JOHNNY ANDREAN, SPALDING, GLAZELLE de Pucelle, Color Comm., Fresh n fresh, LOVILLEA, and STYLE UP brands. It sells its products in the United Arab Emirates, Malaysia, Japan, Thailand, the Philippines, Singapore, Korea, Vietnam, Hongkong, India, and Taiwan. The company was formerly known as PT Tancho Indonesia and changed its name to PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk in 2001. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Mandom Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT. Mandom Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 2.1T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.9T IDR in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 15.3B IDR in FY2025.
TCID screens 70% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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