Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Company (TCT) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · VN · Market cap 242B VND
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price −3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from 12,223 VND (bear) to 19,437 VND (bull), base 15,830 VND. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15,118 VND – 43,028 VND · fair‑value band 12,223 VND – 19,437 VND · the 17,800 VND price screens above the 15,830 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Company (TCT) currently trades at 17,800 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15,830 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 11.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Company generated revenue of 40.1B VND at a net margin of 54.5%. Revenue declined 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 11.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12,223 VND (bear case) to 19,437 VND (bull case); at 17,800 VND, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -11%, TCT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (30,226 VND) versus Dividend Discount (5,289 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Company engages in transporting tourists, goods, and supplies by cable car in Vietnam. It provides slides and other services. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Tây Ninh, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Company reported revenue of 43.5B VND in FY2025 versus 35.9B VND in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 25.5B VND in FY2025, compounding +98.4%/yr from FY2021.
TCT screens 11% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 190 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$74.15 | HK$119.29 | +61% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$160.20 | HK$227.30 | +42% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $36.44 | $16.16 | -56% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $81.55 | $83.38 | +2% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $42.15 | $16.15 | -62% |
| Acushnet Holdings GOLF | $114.78 | $37.79 | -67% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.80 | HK$29.26 | +98% |
| Benefit Systems S.A BFT | 5,255 PLN | 3,714 PLN | -29% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥37.82 | ¥39.17 | +4% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 145.70 | kr 41.90 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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