Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. VND 8,815, price VND 17,700, upside -50.2%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15,118 VND – 43,028 VND · fair‑value band 7,083 VND – 10,642 VND · the 17,700 VND price screens above the 8,815 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Company engages in transporting tourists, goods, and supplies by cable car in Vietnam. It provides slides and other services. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Tây Ninh, Vietnam.
Stock analysis
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT) currently trades at 17,700 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8,815 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 100.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 33,129 VND per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the 17,700 VND price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 4,786 VND, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 7,083 VND (bear) to 10,642 VND (bull), the price of 17,700 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. reported revenue of 43.5B VND in FY2025 versus 35.9B VND in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 25.5B VND in FY2025, compounding +98.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 226B VND · P/E ratio 10.4 · P/S ratio 6.08 · EPS (TTM) 1,708 VND · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 58.7% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at −50%, TCT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 7,083 VNDFair Value 8,815 VNDBull 10,642 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1,254 VND per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+60.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−28.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−31.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−49% → 24%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Vietnam: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.3% a year for the price.
Compare Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 189 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)54% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)33% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)10.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.64× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)5.64× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA30.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 41
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 14
PAST (return on equity)25· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)53· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TCT
Frequently asked questions
Is Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8,815 VND versus a price of 17,700 VND, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TCT?
Our model-based fair value for Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is 8,815 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 17,700 VND.
What is the quality score of TCT?
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8,815 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7,083 VND, optimistic scenario 10,642 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8,815 VND, about −50% upside versus a price of 17,700 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7,083 VND, optimistic scenario 10,642 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.1B VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. pay a dividend?
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.65% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. would have to grow free cash flow by +18.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TCT use?
Our models discount Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. that is +18.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. grew +0.1 % a year. The price currently implies +18.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (+18.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.91 %: that much free cash flow Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. it is 8,815 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 17,700 VND. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TCT trades above its calculated fair value: price 17,700 VND, fair value 8,815 VND, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (17,700 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8,815 VND). For Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. the two are 8,885 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. worth?
The market values Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. at about 226B VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 17,700 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 8,815 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TCT?
Our models span a range for Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co.: cautious scenario 7,083 VND, base 8,815 VND, optimistic 10,642 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 17,700 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TCT?
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8,815 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 5.6, EV/EBITDA 30.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TCT from its 52-week high?
Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. trades at 17,700 VND, about 19% below its 52-week high of 21,800 VND and at the low of 17,650 VND (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8,815 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value ANTA Sports Products Limited, Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 17,700 VND, calculated fair value 8,815 VND (−50%), Quality Score 74/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TCT calculated?
We run Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 8,815 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 17,700 VND. Our model-based fair value is 8,815 VND, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10,642 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The market capitalisation of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is 226B VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is 6.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
Earnings per share at Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. are 1,708 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The dividend yield of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is 2.6% (payout 27.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The net margin of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is 58.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
The operating margin of Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is 33.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
Revenue at Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. is growing −16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. (TCT)?
Earnings per share at Tay Ninh Cable Car Tour Co. are growing −29.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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