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Tecan Group (TECN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CH · Market cap CHF 2.3B

TG Tecan Group TECN · SW
PriceCHF 195.10
Fair ValueCHF 95.99
Upside-50.8%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -12.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.64% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 70.51 – CHF 121.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from CHF 108.57 to CHF 95.99 (−11.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +16.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 121.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 574.26 CHF 113.47 Fair Value CHF 95.99 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 113.47 – CHF 574.26 · fair‑value band CHF 70.51 – CHF 121.48 · the CHF 195.10 price screens above the CHF 95.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tecan Group (TECN) currently trades at CHF 195.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 95.99, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tecan Group generated revenue of CHF 882M at a net margin of -12.5%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.6%. Net debt stands at CHF 42.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 70.51 (bear case) to CHF 121.48 (bull case); at CHF 195.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -51%, TECN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 89.78 CHF 127.96 CHF 179.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 51.83 CHF 72.05 CHF 95.43 74
ROIC Compounder CHF 25.60 CHF 29.32 CHF 32.53 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 88.34 CHF 131.29 CHF 193.17 38
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 51.83 CHF 70.81 CHF 93.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 81.66 CHF 125.97 CHF 176.64 41
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 63.95 CHF 84.04 CHF 108.73 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 83.34 CHF 121.24 CHF 169.93 37
Earnings-Based
EPV CHF 25.60 CHF 29.32 CHF 32.53 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 26.39 CHF 52.58 CHF 79.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 26.39 CHF 41.80 CHF 55.51 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT CHF 44.55 CHF 58.71 CHF 72.87 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 87.65 CHF 116.18 CHF 144.71 54
EV/Revenue CHF 32.38 CHF 45.38 CHF 58.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 45.49 CHF 60.96 CHF 90.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 89.78 CHF 127.96 CHF 179.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 51.83 CHF 72.05 CHF 95.43 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder CHF 25.60 CHF 29.32 CHF 32.53 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 121.24) versus Earnings-Based (CHF 29.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 882M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.2%
Net margin -12.5%
Return on equity -8.6%
Free cash flow CHF 103M FY2025
Operating margin 4.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) CHF -8.75
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.4%
Net debt CHF 42.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tecan Group AG provides laboratory instruments and solutions in biopharmaceuticals, forensics, and clinical diagnostics in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Life Sciences Business and Partnering Business.

Full company description

Tecan Group AG provides laboratory instruments and solutions in biopharmaceuticals, forensics, and clinical diagnostics in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Life Sciences Business and Partnering Business. The company offers liquid handling and automation, microplate readers and washers, software, consumables, sequencing reagents, immunoassays and antibodies, and Tecan Labwerx, an end-to-end automation solution. It also provides PARAMIT, a contract design and manufacturing service. Tecan Group AG has a strategic collaboration with NVIDIA Corporation to develop AI-enabled platform for data-driven laboratories to help discoveries and lab productivity. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Männedorf, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tecan Group reported revenue of CHF 882M in FY2025 versus CHF 947M in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 111M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 882M
Latest YoY
−5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+4.3%
Revenue −1.7%/yr
FY21 CHF 947M
FY22 CHF 1.1B
FY23 CHF 1.1B
FY24 CHF 934M
FY25 CHF 882M
Net income
FY21 CHF 122M
FY22 CHF 121M
FY23 CHF 132M
FY24 CHF 67.7M
FY25 −CHF 111M

TECN screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tecan Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TECN

Peer Group

Medical Instruments & Supplies · 203 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.19× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 27.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 34.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.71× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 27
PAST 0 · sector 25
HEALTH 93 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 33 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG $402.33 $150.04 -63%
EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme 1EL €172.45 €68.55 -60%
Medline Inc MDLN $41.11 $30.15 -27%
Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX $150.65 $103.53 -31%
Alcon Inc ALC $70.26 $39.78 -43%
ResMed Inc RMD $203.87 $187.89 -8%
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST $353.71 $143.97 -59%
Straumann Holding STMN CHF 106.00 CHF 47.31 -55%
Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM €188.50 €51.16 -73%
Coloplast A/S COLOB kr 414.00 kr 382.22 -8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tecan Group (TECN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 95.99 versus a price of CHF 195.10, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TECN?
Our model-based fair value for Tecan Group is CHF 95.99 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 195.10.
What is the quality score of TECN?
Tecan Group has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tecan Group (TECN)?
Tecan Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 882M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TECN?
The net profit margin of Tecan Group is about -12.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tecan Group pay a dividend?
Tecan Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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