Tellusgruppen AB (TELLUS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · SE · Market cap 107M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +3.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 4.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 3.56 – kr 8.74 · fair‑value band kr 2.80 – kr 4.67 · the kr 6.20 price screens above the kr 3.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Tellusgruppen AB (TELLUS) currently trades at kr 6.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 3.73, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tellusgruppen AB generated revenue of 496M SEK at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. Net debt stands at 21.8M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 2.80 (bear case) to kr 4.67 (bull case); at kr 6.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -40%, TELLUS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 30.10) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tellusgruppen AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, operates in the education and childcare sectors in Sweden. The company operates preschools in Stockholm and Uppsala counties under the Tellusbarn, as well as primary schools under the Robinson and Thea names.
Full company description
Tellusgruppen AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, operates in the education and childcare sectors in Sweden. The company operates preschools in Stockholm and Uppsala counties under the Tellusbarn, as well as primary schools under the Robinson and Thea names. It also provides childcare and educational services; mother tongue teaching and study guidance to primary schools under the Omniglot name; and babysitting services under the Nanny by Tellus. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tellusgruppen AB reported revenue of kr 489M in FY2025 versus kr 245M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was kr 4.6M in FY2025.
TELLUS screens 40% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN | 966.48 MXN | 897.37 MXN | -7% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $10.24 | $15.60 | +52% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $36.45 | $41.45 | +14% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹131.59 | ₹14.81 | -89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $149.00 | $152.01 | +2% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $116.22 | $135.45 | +17% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $83.39 | $139.45 | +67% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $40.33 | $21.35 | -47% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $31.66 | $41.45 | +31% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $84.18 | $105.48 | +25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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