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Terragen Holdings Ltd (TGH) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$14.8M (≈ $10.7M) · ISIN AU0000062333

What is Terragen Holdings Ltd really worth?

TH Terragen Holdings Ltd TGH · AU
PriceA$0.0230
Fair ValueA$0.0170
Upside−26.1%
Quality25/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 35% above our fair value of A$0.0170.

As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of Terragen Holdings Ltd is A$0.0170 per share against a price of A$0.0230, so the fair value sits 26% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +15.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.3400 A$0.0110 Fair Value A$0.0170 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0110 – A$0.3400 · the A$0.0230 price screens above the A$0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Terragen Holdings Ltd (TGH) currently trades at A$0.0230, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$1.4M. Revenue declined 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −58.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$4.0M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −26%, TGH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence A$0.0100 A$0.0100 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence A$0.0100 A$0.0100 52

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 11.8 TTM
EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100
Net margin −230% TTM
Return on equity −58.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −59.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −321% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) A$1.4M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −24.3% 3y avg −17.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$3.0M FY2025
Net cash A$4.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Terragen Holdings Limited engages in the research, development, and commercialization of biological products for the agriculture sector in Australia and New Zealand. The company offers Mylo and Terragen Probiotic for Ruminants, which are animal feed supplement probiotics for cows and calves; and Great Land Plus, a bio-stimulant for plants.

Full company description

Terragen Holdings Limited engages in the research, development, and commercialization of biological products for the agriculture sector in Australia and New Zealand. The company offers Mylo and Terragen Probiotic for Ruminants, which are animal feed supplement probiotics for cows and calves; and Great Land Plus, a bio-stimulant for plants. Terragen Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Coolum Beach, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Terragen Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$1.6M in FY2025 versus A$3.7M in FY2021, a compound −18.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$1.6M
Latest YoY
−24.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−40.8%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−354.9% (2020) → −295.9% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −18.5%/yr
FY21 A$3.7M
FY22 A$2.9M
FY23 A$3.3M
FY24 A$2.1M
FY25 A$1.6M
Net income
FY21 −A$6.1M
FY22 −A$5.4M
FY23 −A$3.2M
FY24 −A$3.0M
FY25 −A$3.7M

TGH screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Terragen Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TGH.AU

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 176 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on assets −36% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −24% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 24
FUTURE0 · sector 43
PAST0 · sector 24
HEALTH98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

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Yara International ASA YAR kr 437.20 kr 630.39 +44%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥31.58 ¥42.12 +33%
The Mosaic Company MOS $23.60 $28.68 +22%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥45.86 ¥38.01 −17%
ICL Group ICL $5.47 $2.98 −46%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,039 ₹817.06 −60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Terragen Holdings Ltd (TGH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0170 versus a price of A$0.0230, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TGH?
Our model-based fair value for Terragen Holdings Ltd is A$0.0170 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0230.
What is the quality score of TGH?
Terragen Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Terragen Holdings Ltd (TGH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0170 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Terragen Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0170, about −26% upside versus a price of A$0.0230 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Terragen Holdings Ltd (TGH)?
Terragen Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
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