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Thantawan Industry Public Company (THIP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 1.9B THB

TI Thantawan Industry Public Company THIP · BK
Price22.80 THB
Fair Value39.04 THB
Upside+71.2%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
7.62% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range 29.28 THB – 48.80 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +8.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (29.28 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

43.44 THB 20.30 THB Fair Value 39.04 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 20.30 THB – 43.44 THB · fair‑value band 29.28 THB – 48.80 THB · the 22.80 THB price screens below the 39.04 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Thantawan Industry Public Company (THIP) currently trades at 22.80 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39.04 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thantawan Industry Public Company generated revenue of 4.6B THB at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue declined 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 299M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 29.28 THB (bear case) to 48.80 THB (bull case); at 22.80 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 71%, THIP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 26.79 THB 35.53 THB 47.36 THB 80
Residual Income 24.27 THB 25.34 THB 25.90 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 34.36 THB 52.38 THB 74.11 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 26.83 THB 36.29 THB 49.67 THB 38
Owner Earnings 16.73 THB 20.80 THB 26.56 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 34.36 THB 52.76 THB 77.04 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 39.02 THB 61.82 THB 89.40 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 32.02 THB 48.19 THB 65.79 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 30.23 THB 45.47 THB 67.38 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 33.82 THB 51.35 THB 76.32 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 29.68 THB 42.51 THB 59.23 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 15.62 THB 58.52 THB 79.14 THB 54
Lynch FV 14.11 THB 20.16 THB 26.21 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 14.11 THB 20.16 THB 26.21 THB 46
EPV 29.29 THB 32.05 THB 34.34 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 12.50 THB 22.52 THB 31.00 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 12.50 THB 20.57 THB 24.05 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 29.28 THB 39.04 THB 48.80 THB 63
P/S Multiple 29.28 THB 39.04 THB 48.80 THB 58
P/B Multiple 29.28 THB 39.04 THB 48.80 THB 55
EV/EBIT 45.24 THB 57.29 THB 69.34 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 51.16 THB 65.19 THB 79.21 THB 54
EV/Revenue 40.42 THB 53.85 THB 67.27 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15.59 THB 20.89 THB 31.17 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 26.79 THB 35.53 THB 47.36 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 34.36 THB 52.38 THB 74.11 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 24.27 THB 25.34 THB 25.90 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 29.29 THB 32.64 THB 37.81 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 23.01 THB 32.88 THB 42.74 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (45.47 THB) versus Earnings-Based (20.16 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.6B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.6%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow 162M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 12.8
More key figures
Operating margin 1.4%
EPS (TTM) 1.64 THB
Dividend yield 7.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -68.1%
Net cash 299M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic products in Thailand, Europe, rest of Asia, America, Australia, and Africa.

Full company description

Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of plastic products in Thailand, Europe, rest of Asia, America, Australia, and Africa. The company offers drinking straws, zipper and slider bags, general bags, cling wraps, zip profiles, and body scrubs; compostable products comprising paper and bio straws; shopping bags, gloves, cutlery and agricultural films, and garbage bags; and zipper tapes, resin scraps, etc. It sells its products under the Kitchen Neat, Fresh & Fresh, Zip Solution, SUNZIP, SUNMUM, and SUNBIO brands. The company was formerly known as Blowtech (Thailand) Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited in 1994. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Sam Phran, Thailand. Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Sunflower Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thantawan Industry Public Company reported revenue of 4.8B THB in FY2025 versus 3.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 207M THB in FY2025, compounding −14.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.8B THB
Latest YoY
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 3.8B THB
FY22 4.1B THB
FY23 3.4B THB
FY24 4.3B THB
FY25 4.8B THB
Net income −14.3%/yr
FY21 383M THB
FY22 363M THB
FY23 289M THB
FY24 329M THB
FY25 207M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +3.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.7 pp

of which total revenue +6.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.1 pp

EBIT margin −4.5 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thantawan Industry Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THIP

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 21 · sector 21
HEALTH 97 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thantawan Industry Public Company (THIP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39.04 THB versus a price of 22.80 THB, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THIP?
Our model-based fair value for Thantawan Industry Public Company is 39.04 THB (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 22.80 THB.
What is the quality score of THIP?
Thantawan Industry Public Company has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thantawan Industry Public Company (THIP)?
Thantawan Industry Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THIP?
The net profit margin of Thantawan Industry Public Company is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thantawan Industry Public Company pay a dividend?
Thantawan Industry Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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