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Thor Explorations Ltd. (THX) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$833M

TE Thor Explorations Ltd. THX · V
PriceC$1.39
Fair ValueC$4.17
Upside+200.0%
Quality81/100
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Strengths

Trades 200% below our fair value of C$4.17
Highly profitable · 62.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (13/14)

Risks

!Mixed Growth
!The models disagree: range C$3.11 to C$10.36
Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 62.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.06% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range C$3.11 – C$10.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from C$3.54 to C$4.17 (+17.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +24.1% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 200% undervalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (81/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$3.11). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (C$3.11 to C$10.36). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$1.78 C$0.1668 Fair Value C$4.17 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.1668 – C$1.78 · fair‑value band C$3.11 – C$10.36 · the C$1.39 price screens below the C$4.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Thor Explorations Ltd. (THX) currently trades at C$1.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$4.17, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thor Explorations Ltd. generated revenue of C$336M at a net margin of 62.1%. Revenue grew 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 63.9%. Net debt stands at C$62.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$3.11 (bear case) to C$10.36 (bull case); at C$1.39, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at 200%, THX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$3.66 C$6.18 C$10.14 80
Residual Income C$2.23 C$3.56 C$58.22 76
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.90 C$2.66 C$4.14 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$3.90 C$5.59 C$10.66 38
Owner Earnings C$4.68 C$9.47 C$18.37 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$1.77 C$2.36 C$3.56 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$3.27 C$5.40 C$9.56 41
5Y P/E Exit C$3.98 C$8.47 C$14.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$2.48 C$3.93 C$4.48 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$3.50 C$6.88 C$12.59 37
10Y P/E Exit C$3.97 C$8.27 C$15.27 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$2.00 C$13.96 C$19.59 54
Lynch FV C$7.21 C$10.30 C$13.39 50
PEG = 1.0 C$7.21 C$10.30 C$13.39 46
EPV C$2.36 C$2.66 C$2.90 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$3.75 C$5.00 C$6.26 63
P/S Multiple C$0.5500 C$0.7300 C$0.9200 58
P/B Multiple C$1.28 C$1.71 C$2.14 55
EV/EBIT C$3.35 C$4.40 C$5.45 53
EV/EBITDA C$2.93 C$3.84 C$4.75 54
EV/Revenue C$0.7200 C$0.9400 C$1.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.2900 C$0.3800 C$0.5700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$3.66 C$6.18 C$10.14 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.90 C$2.66 C$4.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$2.23 C$3.56 C$58.22 76
ROIC Compounder C$2.72 C$3.54 C$4.48 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$8.87 C$12.68 C$16.48 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$12.68) versus Asset-Based (C$0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$336M
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.0%
Net margin 62.1%
Return on equity 63.9%
Free cash flow C$181M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.2
More key figures
Operating margin 62.0%
EPS (TTM) C$0.4400
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +34.8%
Net debt C$62.6M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 91
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thor Explorations Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, development, and exploration of gold. The company also explores for silver and lithium deposits. Its flagship property is the Segilola Gold Project in Nigeria. Thor Explorations Ltd. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thor Explorations Ltd. reported revenue of C$325M in FY2025 versus C$7.8M in FY2021, a compound +154.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$196M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$325M
Latest YoY
+68.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.4%
Revenue +154.0%/yr
FY21 C$7.8M
FY22 C$165M
FY23 C$191M
FY24 C$193M
FY25 C$325M
Net income
FY21 −C$2.5M
FY22 C$25.4M
FY23 C$14.7M
FY24 C$91.2M
FY25 C$196M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thor Explorations Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THX

Peer Group

Gold · 248 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 64% · Top 25%
Return on assets 35% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 62% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 62% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.59× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.80× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE80 · sector 100
PAST100 · sector 8
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND53 · sector 19

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $112.82 +1%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥32.21 ¥39.42 +22%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$257.82 C$154.33 -40%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $41.23 $50.66 +23%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$187.84 C$52.47 -72%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$346.87 C$118.53 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $97.92 $88.63 -9%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $40.73 $59.06 +45%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$160.30 HK$96.81 -40%
Kinross Gold Corporation K C$38.29 C$34.62 -10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thor Explorations Ltd. (THX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$4.17 versus a price of C$1.39, about +200% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THX?
Our model-based fair value for Thor Explorations Ltd. is C$4.17 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$1.39.
What is the quality score of THX?
Thor Explorations Ltd. has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thor Explorations Ltd. (THX)?
Thor Explorations Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$336M (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THX?
The net profit margin of Thor Explorations Ltd. is about 62.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 62.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thor Explorations Ltd. pay a dividend?
Thor Explorations Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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