Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Tian An Australia Ltd A$0.16, price A$0.17, upside -5.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1400 – A$1.20 · fair‑value band A$0.0920 – A$0.2680 · the A$0.1700 price screens above the A$0.1609 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Tian An Australia Limited develops and sells residential land and built-form products in Australia. The company has interests in developments on the east coast of Australia and in the Mandurah/Peel Region of Western Australia. It also offers design and planning concepts to develop residential, commercial, and tourism projects.
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Tian An Australia Limited develops and sells residential land and built-form products in Australia. The company has interests in developments on the east coast of Australia and in the Mandurah/Peel Region of Western Australia. It also offers design and planning concepts to develop residential, commercial, and tourism projects. The company was formerly known as PBD Developments Limited and changed its name to Tian An Australia Limited in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Sydney, Australia. Tian An Australia Limited operates as a subsidiary of Oasis Star Limited.
Stock analysis
Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) currently trades at A$0.1700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1609, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 23 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0920 (bear) to A$0.2680 (bull), the price of A$0.1700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Tian An Australia Ltd reported revenue of A$84.3M in FY2025 versus A$1.5M in FY2021, a compound +172.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$23.4M in FY2025, compounding +112.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$14.7M (≈ $10.4M) · P/E ratio 1.9 · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0900 · Net margin 27.8% · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin −1.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −5%, TIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0920Fair Value A$0.1609Bull A$0.2680
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0661 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21,198.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+413.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+153.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.6% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +82.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+82.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.83% vs 9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3,546% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 32.3%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 669% above its own trend.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−58% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−86% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tian An Australia Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1609 versus a price of A$0.1700, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TIA?
Our model-based fair value for Tian An Australia Ltd is A$0.1609 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1700.
What is the quality score of TIA?
Tian An Australia Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1609 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0920, optimistic scenario A$0.2680. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tian An Australia Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1609, about −5% upside versus a price of A$0.1700 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0920, optimistic scenario A$0.2680. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tian An Australia Ltd it is A$0.1609 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1700. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tian An Australia Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TIA trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1700, fair value A$0.1609, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1609). For Tian An Australia Ltd the two are A$0.0091 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tian An Australia Ltd worth?
The market values Tian An Australia Ltd at about A$14.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1700; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1609 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TIA?
Our models span a range for Tian An Australia Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0920, base A$0.1609, optimistic A$0.2680 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TIA?
Tian An Australia Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.1609 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 0.1, P/S 0.6.
What is the PEG ratio of TIA?
The PEG ratio of Tian An Australia Ltd is 2.49 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tian An Australia Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −11.4%, debt of 1.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TIA from its 52-week high?
Tian An Australia Ltd trades at A$0.1700, about 51% below its 52-week high of A$0.3500 and 3% above the low of A$0.1650 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1609 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tian An Australia Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tian An Australia Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1700, calculated fair value A$0.1609 (−5%), Quality Score 57/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TIA calculated?
We run Tian An Australia Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1609, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Tian An Australia Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1700. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1609, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tian An Australia Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0920 to A$0.2680). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Tian An Australia Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The market capitalisation of Tian An Australia Ltd is A$14.7M (≈ $10.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tian An Australia Ltd is 0.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Earnings per share at Tian An Australia Ltd are A$0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The net margin of Tian An Australia Ltd is 27.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tian An Australia Ltd is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tian An Australia Ltd is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The operating margin of Tian An Australia Ltd is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Revenue at Tian An Australia Ltd is growing −85.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +413%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Earnings per share at Tian An Australia Ltd are growing +131% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) generate?
The free cash flow of Tian An Australia Ltd is A$70.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) carry?
The net debt of Tian An Australia Ltd is A$180M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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