Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tian An Australia Ltd stock A$0.39, price A$0.16, upside +150.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1400 – A$1.20 · fair‑value band A$0.2910 – A$0.4360 · the A$0.1550 price screens below the A$0.3880 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Tian An Australia Limited develops and sells residential land and built-form products in Australia. The company has interests in developments on the east coast of Australia and in the Mandurah/Peel Region of Western Australia.
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It also offers design and planning concepts to develop residential, commercial, and tourism projects. The company was formerly known as PBD Developments Limited and changed its name to Tian An Australia Limited in April 2016. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Tian An Australia Limited operates as a subsidiary of Oasis Star Limited.
Stock analysis
Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) currently trades at A$0.1550, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3880, implying the stock looks roughly 60% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$2.48 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$0.1550 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.7300, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.2910 (bear) to A$0.4360 (bull), the price of A$0.1550 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Tian An Australia Ltd reported revenue of A$84.3M in FY2025 versus A$1.5M in FY2021, a compound +172.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$23.4M in FY2025, compounding +112.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$13.4M (≈ $9.3M) Micro · P/E ratio 1.7 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0900 · Net margin 27.8% · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −1.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at 150%, TIA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.2910Fair Value A$0.3880BullA$0.4360
Price A$0.1550 · Upside +150.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0772 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21,198.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+413.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+153.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +82.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +82.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 82.9% / 8.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3,546% → 8%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 32.3%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.013 per share, median 0.032 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 669% above its own trend.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 488 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+150.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets8.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)27.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−1.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−85.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tian An Australia Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.3880 versus the last price from Oct 26, 2026 of A$0.1550, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TIA?
Our model-based fair value for Tian An Australia Ltd is A$0.3880 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 26, 2026): A$0.1550.
What is the quality score of TIA?
Tian An Australia Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.3880 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.2910, optimistic scenario A$0.4360. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tian An Australia Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.3880, about +150% upside versus the last price from Oct 26, 2026 of A$0.1550 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.2910, optimistic scenario A$0.4360. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tian An Australia Ltd it is A$0.3880 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.1550. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Tian An Australia Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, TIA trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.1550, fair value A$0.3880, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1550); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.3880). For Tian An Australia Ltd the two are A$0.2330 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tian An Australia Ltd worth?
The market values Tian An Australia Ltd at about A$13.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1550; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.3880 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TIA?
Our models span a range for Tian An Australia Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.2910, base A$0.3880, optimistic A$0.4360 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$0.1550). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TIA?
Tian An Australia Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.7 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.3880 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.5. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 0.1, P/S 0.6.
What is the PEG ratio of TIA?
The PEG ratio of Tian An Australia Ltd is 2.49 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tian An Australia Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −11.4%, debt of 1.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TIA from its 52-week high?
Tian An Australia Ltd trades at A$0.1550, about 56% below its 52-week high of A$0.3500 and at the low of A$0.1550 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.3880 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tian An Australia Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tian An Australia Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.1550, calculated fair value A$0.3880 (+150%), Quality Score 62/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TIA calculated?
We run Tian An Australia Ltd through 11 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.3880 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Tian An Australia Ltd currently trades 60% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 26, 2026 and stands at A$0.1550. Our model-based fair value is A$0.3880, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tian An Australia Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.2910). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Tian An Australia Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The market capitalisation of Tian An Australia Ltd is A$13.4M (≈ $9.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tian An Australia Ltd is 0.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Earnings per share at Tian An Australia Ltd are A$0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The net margin of Tian An Australia Ltd is 27.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tian An Australia Ltd is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tian An Australia Ltd is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
The operating margin of Tian An Australia Ltd is −1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Revenue at Tian An Australia Ltd is growing −85.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +414%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA)?
Earnings per share at Tian An Australia Ltd are growing +131% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) generate?
The free cash flow of Tian An Australia Ltd is A$70.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tian An Australia Ltd (TIA) carry?
The net debt of Tian An Australia Ltd is A$180M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026