Timken India Limited (TIMKEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹235B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,384). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹492.12 to ₹1,384). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹1,222 – ₹4,656 · fair‑value band ₹492.12 – ₹1,384 · the ₹3,130 price screens above the ₹942.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Timken India Limited (TIMKEN) currently trades at ₹3,130, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹942.48, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Timken India Limited generated revenue of ₹36.0B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. Net debt stands at ₹150M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹492.12 (bear case) to ₹1,384 (bull case); at ₹3,130, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -70%, TIMKEN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,072) versus Asset-Based (₹259.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Timken India Limited manufactures and distributes tapered roller bearings, other roller bearings, components, and accessories for the automotive sector and railway industry in India, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Timken India Limited manufactures and distributes tapered roller bearings, other roller bearings, components, and accessories for the automotive sector and railway industry in India, the United States, and internationally. The company offers cylindrical roller, plain, spherical roller, tapered roller, thrust, precision, slewing, and ball bearing, as well as seals, maintenance tools, housed units, and wheel hub under the Timken brand; and integrated bearing assemblies, driveline center support bearings for commercial and light vehicles, and lubrication and lubrication systems. It provides mechanical power transmission products, such as encoders, gear boxes/transmissions, couplings and joints, belts, augers, linear motion products, brakes and clutches, commercial vehicles wheels and accessories and tools, and chains. In addition, the company offers maintenance contract and refurbishment services; and uptower and motor repair services. Timken India Limited was formerly known as Tata Timken Limited and changed its name to Timken India Limited in July 1999. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Bengaluru, India. Timken India Limited operates as a subsidiary of The Timken Company.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Timken India Limited reported revenue of ₹34.6B in FY2026 versus ₹22.0B in FY2022, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.1B in FY2026, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2022.
TIMKEN screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 124 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$138.50 | HK$78.56 | -43% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $393.93 | $344.67 | -13% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $555.65 | $179.94 | -68% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $286.97 | $151.86 | -47% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $102.90 | $52.80 | -49% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 262.50 | kr 180.34 | -31% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $130.25 | $64.85 | -50% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥30.51 | ¥30.38 | -0% |
| Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 | 381.00 TWD | 73.32 TWD | -81% |
| Kinik Company 1560 | 707.00 TWD | 129.27 TWD | -82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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