Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $472M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +7.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 57% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($10.71 to $49.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.88 – $47.46 · fair‑value band $10.71 – $49.23 · the $19.09 price screens below the $29.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) currently trades at $19.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.97, implying the stock looks roughly 57.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Titan Machinery Inc generated revenue of $2.4B at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. Net debt stands at $798M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.71 (bear case) to $49.23 (bull case); at $19.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 57%, TITN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($65.53) versus Multiples ($13.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Titan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through four segments: Agriculture, Construction, Europe, and Australia.
Full company description
Titan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through four segments: Agriculture, Construction, Europe, and Australia. It sells new and used equipment, including agricultural and construction equipment manufactured under the CNH Industrial family of brands, as well as equipment from various other manufacturers. The company offers agricultural equipment, including machinery and attachments for use in the production of food, fiber, feed grain, feedstock, and renewable energy; and home and garden applications, as well as maintenance of commercial, residential, and government properties. It also provides construction equipment, such as heavy construction machinery, light industrial machinery for commercial and residential construction, and road and highway construction machinery. In addition, the company offers repair and maintenance services that include warranty repairs, off-site and on-site repair services, scheduling off-season maintenance services, and notifying customers of periodic service requirements; and training programs to customers, as well as sells maintenance and replacement parts. Further, the company rents equipment; and provides ancillary equipment support services, such as equipment transportation, global positioning system signal subscriptions and other precision farming products, farm data management products, and finance and insurance products. It operates in Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, the United States; Bulgaria, Germany, Romania, and Ukraine, Europe; and New South Wales, South Australia, and Victoria, and Australia. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in West Fargo, North Dakota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Titan Machinery Inc reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2026 versus $1.7B in FY2022, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$54.2M in FY2026.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Titan Machinery Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates on Better Equipment Margins
- Titan Machinery (TITN) Q1 2027 Earnings Transcript
- Titan Machinery Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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