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Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $472M

TM Titan Machinery Inc logo Titan Machinery Inc TITN · US
Price$19.09
Fair Value$29.97
Upside+57.0%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range $10.71 – $49.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +7.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 57% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($10.71 to $49.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$47.46 $12.88 Fair Value $29.97 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.88 – $47.46 · fair‑value band $10.71 – $49.23 · the $19.09 price screens below the $29.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) currently trades at $19.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.97, implying the stock looks roughly 57.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Titan Machinery Inc generated revenue of $2.4B at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.2%. Net debt stands at $798M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.71 (bear case) to $49.23 (bull case); at $19.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 57%, TITN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $42.53 $65.53 $96.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF $39.40 $66.27 $98.44 74
EV/EBITDA $9.00 $13.87 $18.73 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $42.55 $67.18 $101.50 38
5Y Revenue Exit $39.40 $66.26 $100.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $21.16 $31.11 $42.18 41
10Y Revenue Exit $38.89 $62.63 $95.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $29.32 $39.97 $53.23 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $9.00 $13.87 $18.73 54
EV/Revenue $39.35 $58.61 $77.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.43 $16.66 $24.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $42.53 $65.53 $96.29 80
Rev-Margin DCF $39.40 $66.27 $98.44 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($65.53) versus Multiples ($13.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.1%
Net margin -2.3%
Return on equity -9.2%
Free cash flow $115M FY2026
Operating margin -1.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.35
EPS growth (YoY) -28.6%
Net debt $798M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Titan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through four segments: Agriculture, Construction, Europe, and Australia.

Full company description

Titan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through four segments: Agriculture, Construction, Europe, and Australia. It sells new and used equipment, including agricultural and construction equipment manufactured under the CNH Industrial family of brands, as well as equipment from various other manufacturers. The company offers agricultural equipment, including machinery and attachments for use in the production of food, fiber, feed grain, feedstock, and renewable energy; and home and garden applications, as well as maintenance of commercial, residential, and government properties. It also provides construction equipment, such as heavy construction machinery, light industrial machinery for commercial and residential construction, and road and highway construction machinery. In addition, the company offers repair and maintenance services that include warranty repairs, off-site and on-site repair services, scheduling off-season maintenance services, and notifying customers of periodic service requirements; and training programs to customers, as well as sells maintenance and replacement parts. Further, the company rents equipment; and provides ancillary equipment support services, such as equipment transportation, global positioning system signal subscriptions and other precision farming products, farm data management products, and finance and insurance products. It operates in Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, the United States; Bulgaria, Germany, Romania, and Ukraine, Europe; and New South Wales, South Australia, and Victoria, and Australia. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in West Fargo, North Dakota.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Titan Machinery Inc reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2026 versus $1.7B in FY2022, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$54.2M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.4B
Latest YoY
−10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+16.9%
Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY22 $1.7B
FY23 $2.2B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $2.7B
FY26 $2.4B
Net income
FY22 $66.0M
FY23 $102M
FY24 $111M
FY25 −$36.9M
FY26 −$54.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Titan Machinery Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TITN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +57% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.27× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 17.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.77× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 35
HEALTH 86 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,376 $625.61 -55%
Fastenal Company FAST $45.49 $20.64 -55%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $232.02 $151.92 -35%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $326.71 $213.01 -35%
Watsco, Inc WSO $385.16 $268.10 -30%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$232.22 C$127.90 -45%
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $329.35 $191.65 -42%
Finning International Inc FTT C$102.50 C$76.38 -25%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 329.20 kr 156.35 -53%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $44.66 $49.47 +11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.97 versus a price of $19.09, about +57% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TITN?
Our model-based fair value for Titan Machinery Inc is $29.97 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.09.
What is the quality score of TITN?
Titan Machinery Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Titan Machinery Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TITN?
The net profit margin of Titan Machinery Inc is about -2.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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