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Data-driven stock valuation

Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Titan Machinery Inc stock $66.04, price $22.14, upside +198.3%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

TM Titan Machinery Inc logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

Titan Machinery Inc

TITN · US
Meets all rules: undervalued, quality rule, uptrend

The stock costs 66% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $66.04 · Strongly undervalued
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Positive coverage
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 91% above the price ($42.18).
Quality 47/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.5 %/yr in USD)
Some data
Loss-making · -2.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 15/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$47.46 $12.88 Fair Value $66.04 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.88 – $47.46 · fair‑value band $42.18 – $96.33 · the $22.14 price screens below the $66.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Titan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through four segments: Agriculture, Construction, Europe, and Australia.

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It sells new and used equipment, including agricultural and construction equipment manufactured under the CNH Industrial family of brands, as well as equipment from various other manufacturers.

The company offers agricultural equipment, including machinery and attachments for use in the production of food, fiber, feed grain, feedstock, and renewable energy; and home and garden applications, as well as maintenance of commercial, residential, and government properties.

It also provides construction equipment, such as heavy construction machinery, light industrial machinery for commercial and residential construction, and road and highway construction machinery.

In addition, the company offers repair and maintenance services that include warranty repairs, off-site and on-site repair services, scheduling off-season maintenance services, and notifying customers of periodic service requirements; and training programs to customers, as well as sells maintenance and replacement parts.

Further, the company rents equipment; and provides ancillary equipment support services, such as equipment transportation, global positioning system signal subscriptions and other precision farming products, farm data management products, and finance and insurance products.

It operates in Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, the United States; Bulgaria, Germany, Romania, and Ukraine, Europe; and New South Wales, South Australia, and Victoria, and Australia.

The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in West Fargo, North Dakota.

Stock analysis

Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) currently trades at $22.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $66.04, implying the stock looks roughly 66% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $70.16 per share, and 8 of the 9 models we run sit above the $22.14 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $29.68, and 1 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $42.18 (bear) to $96.33 (bull), the price of $22.14 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Titan Machinery Inc reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2026 versus $1.7B in FY2022, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$54.2M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $512M Small · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) $−2.49 · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity −9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.3% · Revenue (TTM) $2.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 198%, TITN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $42.18 Fair Value $66.04 Bull $96.33
Price $22.14 · Upside +198.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $49.51 $74.50 $107.29 80
Growth DCF $49.26 $72.10 $100.55 79
5Y EBITDA Exit $25.19 $35.20 $46.11 76
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $49.51 $74.50 $107.29 80
5Y Revenue Exit $42.18 $67.92 $100.71 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $25.19 $35.20 $46.11 76
10Y Revenue Exit $43.61 $66.04 $96.33 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $35.22 $46.21 $59.55 69
Multiples
EV/Revenue $10.60 $29.68 $48.75 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.47 $2.22 $2.78 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $49.26 $72.10 $100.55 79
Rev-Margin DCF $42.18 $68.22 $99.48 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 31
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 48
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 38
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 78
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 16
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 65
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 68
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 71
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.7% (2021) → −0.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.0% a year for the price and −2.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)−13.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.0%
Projected 2031 (sales)+2.8%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare Titan Machinery Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +198.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 4.5× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 19.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.77× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Indutrade AB INDT kr 267.20 kr 293.92 +10% vs TITN
Finning International Inc FTT C$88.62 C$74.26 −16% vs TITN
Watsco, Inc WSO $304.34 $250.18 −18% vs TITN
Fastenal Company FAST $52.99 $41.28 −22% vs TITN
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $283.39 $205.08 −28% vs TITN
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$184.15 C$127.80 −31% vs TITN
WESCO International, Inc WCC $292.68 $151.74 −48% vs TITN
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,441 $634.60 −56% vs TITN
QXO, Inc QXO $11.56 $1.62 −86% vs TITN
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $233.70 $32.42 −86% vs TITN

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Titan Machinery Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Titan Machinery Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TITN

Frequently asked questions

Is Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $66.04 versus a price of $22.14, about +198% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TITN?
Our model-based fair value for Titan Machinery Inc is $66.04 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.14.
What is the quality score of TITN?
Titan Machinery Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $66.04 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $42.18, optimistic scenario $96.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Titan Machinery Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $66.04, about +198% upside versus a price of $22.14 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $42.18, optimistic scenario $96.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Titan Machinery Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Titan Machinery Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +3.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.5 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TITN use?
Our models discount Titan Machinery Inc at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.41, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Titan Machinery Inc that is +3.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Titan Machinery Inc grew +11.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +3.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Titan Machinery Inc (+3.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.69 %: that much free cash flow Titan Machinery Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Titan Machinery Inc it is $66.04 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $22.14. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Titan Machinery Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, TITN trades below its calculated fair value: price $22.14, fair value $66.04, a gap of about +198% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TITN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($66.04). For Titan Machinery Inc the two are $43.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Titan Machinery Inc worth?
The market values Titan Machinery Inc at about $512M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $22.14; our models calculate a fair value of $66.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TITN?
Our models span a range for Titan Machinery Inc: cautious scenario $42.18, base $66.04, optimistic $96.33 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $22.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TITN?
The PEG ratio of Titan Machinery Inc is 1.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Titan Machinery Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −9.7%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TITN from its 52-week high?
Titan Machinery Inc trades at $22.14, about 16% below its 52-week high of $26.22 and 57% above the low of $14.15 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $66.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Titan Machinery Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Titan Machinery Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $22.14, calculated fair value $66.04 (+198%), Quality Score 47/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TITN calculated?
We run Titan Machinery Inc through 9 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $66.04 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Titan Machinery Inc currently trades 66% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $22.14. Our model-based fair value is $66.04, about +198% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Titan Machinery Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (47/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($42.18). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($42.18 to $96.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Titan Machinery Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
The market capitalisation of Titan Machinery Inc is $512M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Titan Machinery Inc is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Earnings per share at Titan Machinery Inc are $−2.49. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
The net margin of Titan Machinery Inc is −2.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Titan Machinery Inc is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Titan Machinery Inc is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
The operating margin of Titan Machinery Inc is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Revenue at Titan Machinery Inc is growing −9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Titan Machinery Inc (TITN)?
Earnings per share at Titan Machinery Inc are growing −28.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) carry?
The net debt of Titan Machinery Inc is $798M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 6.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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