Takara Holdings (TKHIF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.2B
Takara Holdings
TKHIF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $7.84 (bear) to $13.06 (bull), base $10.45. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (23 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range $6.78 – $11.40 · fair‑value band $7.84 – $13.06 · the $11.20 price screens above the $10.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Takara Holdings (TKHIF) currently trades at $11.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.45, implying the stock looks roughly 6.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Takara Holdings generated revenue of $394B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.84 (bear case) to $13.06 (bull case); at $11.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at -7%, TKHIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($15.28) versus Earnings-Based ($4.98). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Takara Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells alcoholic beverages and seasonings in Japan, the United States, and internationally. It operates through the Takara Shuzo, Takara Shuzo International Group, Takara Bio Group, and Other segments.
Full company description
Takara Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells alcoholic beverages and seasonings in Japan, the United States, and internationally. It operates through the Takara Shuzo, Takara Shuzo International Group, Takara Bio Group, and Other segments. The company offers alcoholic beverages, including shochu, sake, and light-alcohol refreshers; Scotch whisky, and alcohol-based seasonings, including Hon Mirin, food seasonings, and distilled raw alcohol, as well as engages in the sale of sundries, seafood, wine, bourbon whiskey, food ingredients, frozen food, and cookware and dinnerware for restaurants. It is also involved in the development, manufacture, and sale of reagents and instruments; contract development and manufacturing organization services for the development and manufacturing of regenerative medicine products; genetic analysis and testing; and genetic medicine and gene therapy. In addition, the company engages in the provision of logistics services, such as distribution processing and mail order/sales promotion distribution; transportation; warehousing; automobile services; non-life insurance agent; travel agent; wholesale of containers and packaging materials; digital; printing; and web production. Further, it offers market research; sales promotion planning; temporary staffing for plants, store support, and office and technical work; sale of rice, wheat, and food byproducts, as well as feed comprising rice bran and corn meal; and real estate leasing. The company exports its products. Takara Holdings Inc. was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Takara Holdings reported revenue of $363B in FY2025 versus $278B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $16.2B in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €73.62 | €41.60 | -43% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 6,060 ARS | -57% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €77.24 | €65.06 | -16% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $135.72 | $177.43 | +31% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,125 | kr 607.30 | -46% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €71.20 | €72.67 | +2% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.60 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 | HK$6.58 | HK$6.05 | -8% |
| Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA | C$63.10 | C$74.42 | +18% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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