Thai Life Insurance Public Company (TLI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TH · Market cap 135B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from 10.12 THB (bear) to 16.86 THB (bull), base 13.49 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range 6.00 THB – 13.90 THB · fair‑value band 10.12 THB – 16.86 THB · the 11.70 THB price screens below the 13.49 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Thai Life Insurance Public Company (TLI) currently trades at 11.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.49 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Life Insurance Public Company generated revenue of 39.6B THB at a net margin of 31.5%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 7.9B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 10.12 THB (bear case) to 16.86 THB (bull case); at 11.70 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 15%, TLI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (13.49 THB) versus Dividend Discount (5.02 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Thai Life Insurance Public Company Limited provides life insurance products in Thailand. It operates in two segments, Agent Channel and Partnership and Other Channels.
Full company description
Thai Life Insurance Public Company Limited provides life insurance products in Thailand. It operates in two segments, Agent Channel and Partnership and Other Channels. The company offers life and saving products, including whole life, endowment, annuity, term life, unit link, and universal life; other products, such as personal accident and yearly renewable term, as well as credit life; and individual and group products comprising protection, savings, investment, and legacy-planning. It sells its products through commercial banks, government banks and organizations, leasing and hire-purchase, consumer finance partners, direct marketing, group employee benefits, and digital platforms. The company was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. Thai Life Insurance Public Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of V.C. Property Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Thai Life Insurance Public Company reported revenue of 55.5B THB in FY2025 versus 108B THB in FY2021, a compound −15.4%/yr. Reported net income was 11.9B THB in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
Watch TLI: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Insurance - Life · 95 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Life Insurance Company 601628 | ¥38.72 | ¥70.87 | +83% |
| Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 | ¥49.60 | ¥96.76 | +95% |
| AIA Group 1299 | HK$75.55 | HK$7.88 | -90% |
| Manulife Financial Corporation MFC | C$58.52 | C$45.13 | -23% |
| Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO | C$92.34 | C$59.64 | -35% |
| Life Insurance Corporation LICI | ₹438.30 | ₹590.43 | +35% |
| Fubon Financial Holding 2881 | 124.50 TWD | 115.05 TWD | -8% |
| Cathay Financial Holding 2882 | 94.00 TWD | 94.95 TWD | +1% |
| Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 | 337,500 KRW | 166,710 KRW | -51% |
| China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 | ¥29.75 | ¥59.50 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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