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Talen Energy Corporation (TLNE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $6.1B

TE Talen Energy Corporation logo Talen Energy Corporation TLNE · US
Price$372.37
Fair Value$114.58
Upside-69.2%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $22.92 – $114.58 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $36.94 to $114.58 (+210.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$443.84 $262.46 Fair Value $114.58 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $262.46 – $443.84 · fair‑value band $22.92 – $114.58 · the $372.37 price screens above the $114.58 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Talen Energy Corporation (TLNE) currently trades at $372.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $114.58, implying the stock looks roughly 69.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Talen Energy Corporation generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of 40.4%. Revenue declined 33.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 77.2%. Net debt stands at $6.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $22.92 (bear case) to $114.58 (bull case); at $372.37, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -69%, TLNE screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -33.5%
Net margin 40.4%
Return on equity 77.2%
Free cash flow $498M FY2025
Operating margin 4.1%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -99.2%
Net debt $6.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Talen Energy Corporation, an independent power producer and infrastructure company, produces and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale power markets in the United States. The company operates nuclear, fossil, solar, and coal power plants. It is also developing battery storage projects. The company owns and operates approximately 10.7 GW of power infrastructure. Talen Energy Corporation is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Talen Energy Corporation reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $1.8B in FY2020, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$219M in FY2025.

Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY20 $1.8B
FY21 $1.8B
FY22 $2.4B
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $2.6B
Net income
FY20 −$664M
FY21 −$989M
FY22 −$1.3B
FY24 $998M
FY25 −$219M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Talen Energy Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLNE

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Frequently asked questions

Is Talen Energy Corporation (TLNE) undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $114.58 versus a price of $372.37, about −69% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TLNE?
Our model-based fair value for Talen Energy Corporation is $114.58 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $372.37.
What is the quality score of TLNE?
Talen Energy Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Talen Energy Corporation (TLNE)?
Talen Energy Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TLNE?
The net profit margin of Talen Energy Corporation is about 40.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 40.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.