TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $16.1M
TMD Energy Limited
TMDE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −21.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 56% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.02). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (16 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range $0.4100 – $5.78 · fair‑value band $1.02 – $1.39 · the $0.7160 price screens below the $1.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) currently trades at $0.7160, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.12, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TMD Energy Limited generated revenue of $607M at a net margin of -0.5%. Revenue declined 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.5%. Net debt stands at $63.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.02 (bear case) to $1.39 (bull case); at $0.7160, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 56%, TMDE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.95) versus Asset-Based ($0.5100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Notify me when TMDE reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TMD Energy Limited, an investment holding company, provides marine fuel bunkering services in Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam. The company involved in marketing and supply of marine gas and fuel oil, including high sulfur fuel oil, low sulfur fuel oil, and very low sulfur fuel oil products to ships and vessels.
Full company description
TMD Energy Limited, an investment holding company, provides marine fuel bunkering services in Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam. The company involved in marketing and supply of marine gas and fuel oil, including high sulfur fuel oil, low sulfur fuel oil, and very low sulfur fuel oil products to ships and vessels. It also provides vessel chartering and ship management services for in-house and external vessels; sale of cargo oil and fresh water; and general cleaning and disinfecting services. It operates with a fleet of 15 well-maintained bunkering vessels. TMD Energy Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in the Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. TMD Energy Limited is a subsidiary of Straits Energy Resources Berhad.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
TMD Energy Limited reported revenue of $689M in FY2024 versus $702M in FY2022, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9M in FY2024, compounding −11.1%/yr from FY2022.
Watch TMDE: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 28/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $37.99 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
Compare TMD Energy Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is TMD Energy Limited (TMDE) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of TMDE?
What is the quality score of TMDE?
What is the revenue of TMD Energy Limited (TMDE)?
What is the net profit margin of TMDE?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track TMD Energy Limited and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.