Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $21.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $14.25 to $13.60 (−4.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $10.20 (bear) to $17.00 (bull), base $13.60. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.92 – $15.74 · fair‑value band $10.20 – $17.00 · the $15.09 price screens above the $13.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY) currently trades at $15.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.60, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tenaga Nasional Berhad generated revenue of $65.4B at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at $76.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.20 (bear case) to $17.00 (bull case); at $15.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -10%, TNABY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($58.89) versus Earnings-Based ($20.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tenaga Nasional Berhad engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Kuwait, the Republic of Ireland, Australia, and internationally.
Full company description
Tenaga Nasional Berhad engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Kuwait, the Republic of Ireland, Australia, and internationally. It operates and maintains thermal and hydroelectric power plants; and operates and manages the National Grid that is connected to Thailand's transmission system, as well as Singapore's transmission system at Senoko. The company also supplies fuel and coal for power generation; generates, distributes, supplies, deals in, and sells various energy sources, as well as provides related technical services; develops district cooling systems; operates and maintains co-generation works; manufactures, sells, and repairs distribution, power, and earthing transformers; and owns, develops, and manages dry bulk terminals. In addition, it provides turnkey contracting services to transmission substations; repair and maintenance services to heavy industries and other related services; operation and maintenance services to telecommunication equipment and data centres; higher education, telecommunication, and IT infrastructure solution and services; research and development services in the areas of engineering, information technology, business, accountancy, and liberal studies; and training courses. Further, the company offers insurance and reinsurance, technical and laboratory, consultancy, and other services; manufactures and distributes power and general cables, and aluminum rods; operates an integrated district cooling systems for air conditioning systems of office buildings; assembles, manufactures, tests, reconditions, and distributes high and medium voltage switchgears and control gears for transmission and distribution of electric power; and operates wind assets. It primarily serves commercial, industrial, and residential customers. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tenaga Nasional Berhad reported revenue of $67.7B in FY2025 versus $52.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $4.8B in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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