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Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $21.1B

TN Tenaga Nasional Berhad logo Tenaga Nasional Berhad TNABY · US
Price$15.09
Fair Value$13.60
Upside-9.9%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.4% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
3.57% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $10.20 – $17.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $14.25 to $13.60 (−4.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $10.20 (bear) to $17.00 (bull), base $13.60. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.74 $5.92 Fair Value $13.60 Jul 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.92 – $15.74 · fair‑value band $10.20 – $17.00 · the $15.09 price screens above the $13.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY) currently trades at $15.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.60, implying the stock looks roughly 9.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tenaga Nasional Berhad generated revenue of $65.4B at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at $76.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.20 (bear case) to $17.00 (bull case); at $15.09, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -10%, TNABY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $30.32 $33.30 $44.78 76
ROIC Compounder $52.72 $73.10 $98.07 72
Gordon GGM $18.70 $38.89 $61.70 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.25 $66.80 $88.52 54
Lynch FV $14.18 $20.25 $26.33 50
PEG = 1.0 $14.18 $20.25 $26.33 46
EPV $49.54 $61.71 $72.37 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $18.70 $38.89 $61.70 70
DDM Multi-Stage $18.70 $30.45 $40.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $44.17 $58.89 $73.62 63
P/S Multiple $41.72 $55.62 $69.53 58
P/B Multiple $41.72 $55.62 $69.53 55
EV/EBIT $73.64 $106.03 $138.41 53
EV/EBITDA $99.66 $140.71 $181.77 54
EV/Revenue $55.07 $88.75 $122.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.43 $23.35 $34.85 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $30.32 $33.30 $44.78 76
ROIC Compounder $52.72 $73.10 $98.07 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $36.68 $52.41 $68.13 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($58.89) versus Earnings-Based ($20.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $65.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.4%
Net margin 7.4%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow −$675M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.1
More key figures
Operating margin 15.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.8000
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net debt $76.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tenaga Nasional Berhad engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Kuwait, the Republic of Ireland, Australia, and internationally.

Full company description

Tenaga Nasional Berhad engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Kuwait, the Republic of Ireland, Australia, and internationally. It operates and maintains thermal and hydroelectric power plants; and operates and manages the National Grid that is connected to Thailand's transmission system, as well as Singapore's transmission system at Senoko. The company also supplies fuel and coal for power generation; generates, distributes, supplies, deals in, and sells various energy sources, as well as provides related technical services; develops district cooling systems; operates and maintains co-generation works; manufactures, sells, and repairs distribution, power, and earthing transformers; and owns, develops, and manages dry bulk terminals. In addition, it provides turnkey contracting services to transmission substations; repair and maintenance services to heavy industries and other related services; operation and maintenance services to telecommunication equipment and data centres; higher education, telecommunication, and IT infrastructure solution and services; research and development services in the areas of engineering, information technology, business, accountancy, and liberal studies; and training courses. Further, the company offers insurance and reinsurance, technical and laboratory, consultancy, and other services; manufactures and distributes power and general cables, and aluminum rods; operates an integrated district cooling systems for air conditioning systems of office buildings; assembles, manufactures, tests, reconditions, and distributes high and medium voltage switchgears and control gears for transmission and distribution of electric power; and operates wind assets. It primarily serves commercial, industrial, and residential customers. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tenaga Nasional Berhad reported revenue of $67.7B in FY2025 versus $52.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $4.8B in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$67.7B
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+6.6%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 $52.6B
FY22 $73.2B
FY23 $53.1B
FY24 $65.8B
FY25 $67.7B
Net income +6.8%/yr
FY21 $3.7B
FY22 $3.5B
FY23 $2.8B
FY24 $4.7B
FY25 $4.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tenaga Nasional Berhad Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TNABY

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.93× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.03× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 7
FUTURE 12 · sector 32
PAST 34 · sector 39
HEALTH 54 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.60 versus a price of $15.09, about −10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TNABY?
Our model-based fair value for Tenaga Nasional Berhad is $13.60 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.09.
What is the quality score of TNABY?
Tenaga Nasional Berhad has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY)?
Tenaga Nasional Berhad reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $65.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TNABY?
The net profit margin of Tenaga Nasional Berhad is about 7.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tenaga Nasional Berhad pay a dividend?
Tenaga Nasional Berhad currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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