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Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company (TNH) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · TH · Market cap 5.2B THB

TN Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company TNH · BK
Price28.25 THB
Fair Value43.32 THB
Upside+53.4%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.07% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range 29.37 THB – 60.31 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −2.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 53% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (29.37 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (29.37 THB to 60.31 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

37.21 THB 27.39 THB Fair Value 43.32 THB Sep 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 27.39 THB – 37.21 THB · fair‑value band 29.37 THB – 60.31 THB · the 28.25 THB price screens below the 43.32 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company (TNH) currently trades at 28.25 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 43.32 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company generated revenue of 2.7B THB at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.3B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 29.37 THB (bear case) to 60.31 THB (bull case); at 28.25 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 53%, TNH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 16.85 THB 19.52 THB 36.31 THB 76
Growth DCF 24.50 THB 32.26 THB 42.85 THB 72
Gordon GGM 5.27 THB 10.50 THB 15.90 THB 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 24.24 THB 33.00 THB 45.73 THB 38
Owner Earnings 23.95 THB 32.57 THB 45.07 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 27.52 THB 40.46 THB 56.94 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 32.76 THB 50.19 THB 70.46 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 33.71 THB 51.95 THB 71.01 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 25.43 THB 36.74 THB 51.85 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 29.37 THB 43.32 THB 61.88 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 29.95 THB 44.51 THB 62.28 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 14.91 THB 44.95 THB 59.58 THB 54
Lynch FV 9.56 THB 13.66 THB 17.76 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 9.56 THB 13.66 THB 17.76 THB 46
EPV 25.80 THB 28.77 THB 31.32 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.27 THB 10.50 THB 15.90 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 5.27 THB 8.44 THB 11.08 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 36.19 THB 48.25 THB 60.31 THB 63
P/S Multiple 27.96 THB 37.28 THB 46.61 THB 58
P/B Multiple 27.96 THB 37.28 THB 46.61 THB 55
EV/EBIT 40.02 THB 51.02 THB 62.01 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 41.54 THB 53.05 THB 64.55 THB 54
EV/Revenue 30.58 THB 40.67 THB 50.76 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.29 THB 12.44 THB 18.57 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 24.50 THB 32.26 THB 42.85 THB 72
Rev-Margin DCF 27.52 THB 40.40 THB 55.03 THB 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 16.85 THB 19.52 THB 36.31 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 26.94 THB 31.90 THB 37.61 THB 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 29.46 THB 42.08 THB 54.71 THB 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (42.08 THB) versus Dividend Discount (8.44 THB). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.7B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.1%
Net margin 11.9%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow 289M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 15.9
More key figures
Operating margin 11.4%
EPS (TTM) 1.81 THB
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -31.6%
Net cash 1.3B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries engages in the hospital business in Thailand.

Full company description

Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries engages in the hospital business in Thailand. The company offers medical services in the areas of heart, bone and joint, holistic oncology, hemodialysis, hepato-biliary and pancreas, mental health clinics, and traditional chinese medical clinic, as well as operates dental, check up center, gastrointestinal, skin and laser, urology clinics, lasik center, rehabilitation, breast care, diabetes and endocrinology clinic, eye, emergency, X-ray ,surgery, obstetrics and gynecology ear, nose, and throat, medicine, nursery, pediatrics, brain, and neurology center. It also engages in health establishment and hotel business; mobile checkup and small healthcare services. In addition, the company provides elderly and dependency care. Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is head in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company reported revenue of 2.8B THB in FY2025 versus 2.0B THB in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 395M THB in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.8B THB
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 2.0B THB
FY22 2.6B THB
FY23 2.4B THB
FY24 2.7B THB
FY25 2.8B THB
Net income +7.7%/yr
FY21 293M THB
FY22 425M THB
FY23 351M THB
FY24 435M THB
FY25 395M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.8 pp

of which total revenue +4.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +1.9 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TNH

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 261 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +53% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.55× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 39 · sector 30
HEALTH 0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 41 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $378.85 $554.93 +46%
Fresenius SE FRE €41.73 €32.15 -23%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.58 SGD 1.44 SGD -44%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $194.91 $338.05 +73%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$36.01 R$47.31 +31%
DaVita Inc DVA $231.61 $255.97 +11%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,955 ₹2,955 -67%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS $24.68 $45.60 +85%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.68 ¥7.67 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company (TNH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 43.32 THB versus a price of 28.25 THB, about +53% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TNH?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company is 43.32 THB (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 28.25 THB.
What is the quality score of TNH?
Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company (TNH)?
Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TNH?
The net profit margin of Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company is about 11.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company pay a dividend?
Thai Nakarin Hospital Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.02% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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