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Trinity Watthana Public Company (TNITY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TH · Market cap 536M THB

TW Trinity Watthana Public Company TNITY · BK
Price2.84 THB
Fair Value5.00 THB
Upside+76.1%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -20.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range 3.05 THB – 5.55 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 4.96 THB to 5.00 THB (+0.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +15.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (3.05 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (3.05 THB to 5.55 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

15.79 THB 2.00 THB Fair Value 5.00 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.00 THB – 15.79 THB · fair‑value band 3.05 THB – 5.55 THB · the 2.84 THB price screens below the 5.00 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Trinity Watthana Public Company (TNITY) currently trades at 2.84 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.00 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 76.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Trinity Watthana Public Company generated revenue of 400M THB at a net margin of -19.9%. Revenue declined 41.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.9%. Net debt stands at 2.4B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3.05 THB (bear case) to 5.55 THB (bull case); at 2.84 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 76%, TNITY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 13.64 THB 24.46 THB 41.45 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5.03 THB 7.30 THB 11.86 THB 74
NCAV (Graham) 3.03 THB 4.06 THB 6.06 THB 50
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.03 THB 4.06 THB 6.06 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 13.64 THB 24.46 THB 41.45 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5.03 THB 7.30 THB 11.86 THB 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (7.30 THB) versus Asset-Based (4.06 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 400M THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -41.0%
Net margin -19.9%
Return on equity -5.9%
Free cash flow 250M THB FY2025
Operating margin -33.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.3900 THB
EPS growth (YoY) -51.5%
Net debt 2.4B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Trinity Watthana Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the securities business in Thailand. The company operates through two segments, Securities and Derivatives Business; and Financial Advisory Business and Investment Banking. It is involved in the brokerage, trading, borrowing and lending, and underwriting of securities.

Full company description

Trinity Watthana Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the securities business in Thailand. The company operates through two segments, Securities and Derivatives Business; and Financial Advisory Business and Investment Banking. It is involved in the brokerage, trading, borrowing and lending, and underwriting of securities. The company also provides investment advisory, private fund asset management, investment banking, fixed income, and financial advisory services, as well as operates as a derivatives agent. In addition, it invests in listed and other companies; securitizations; and offers management services for special purpose vehicles. Trinity Watthana Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Trinity Watthana Public Company reported revenue of 492M THB in FY2025 versus 865M THB in FY2021, a compound −13.2%/yr. Reported net income was −79.4M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
492M THB
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Revenue −13.2%/yr
FY21 865M THB
FY22 700M THB
FY23 206M THB
FY24 507M THB
FY25 492M THB
Net income
FY21 250M THB
FY22 178M THB
FY23 −353M THB
FY24 514K THB
FY25 −79.4M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trinity Watthana Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TNITY

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 424 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +76% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 9
FUTURE 38 · sector 94
PAST 0 · sector 31
HEALTH 88 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Trinity Watthana Public Company (TNITY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.00 THB versus a price of 2.84 THB, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TNITY?
Our model-based fair value for Trinity Watthana Public Company is 5.00 THB (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.84 THB.
What is the quality score of TNITY?
Trinity Watthana Public Company has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Trinity Watthana Public Company (TNITY)?
Trinity Watthana Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 400M THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TNITY?
The net profit margin of Trinity Watthana Public Company is about -19.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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