TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. ₹6.91, price ₹19.50, upside -64.6%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹6.85 – ₹51.97 · fair‑value band ₹2.44 – ₹8.96 · the ₹19.50 price screens above the ₹6.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Tokyo Finance Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. The company provides loans and advances to corporate customers and business entrepreneurs. It also engages in to advance, deposit, or lending of money, securities, and properties; and provision of seed capital, venture capital, and loan capital.
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Tokyo Finance Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. The company provides loans and advances to corporate customers and business entrepreneurs. It also engages in to advance, deposit, or lending of money, securities, and properties; and provision of seed capital, venture capital, and loan capital. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN) currently trades at ₹19.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹6.91, 64.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹11.28 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ₹19.50 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹2.47, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹2.44 (bear) to ₹8.96 (bull), the price of ₹19.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
TOKYO FINANCE LTD. reported revenue of ₹8.4M in FY2026 versus ₹5.7M in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.7M in FY2026, compounding +58.8%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹136M (≈ $1.4M) · P/E ratio 69.6 · P/S ratio 14.5 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.2800 · Net margin 20.8% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% · Operating margin 27.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −65%, TOKYOFIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹2.44Fair Value ₹6.91Bull ₹8.96
Price ₹19.50 · Upside -64.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1442 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−7.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.137% → 20%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 329 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−63.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.5% · Below median
Return on assets1.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)23.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)27.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.1% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)69.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)15.59× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA76.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)26· sector 51
PAST (return on equity)6· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 56
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹6.91 versus a price of ₹19.50, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TOKYOFIN?
Our model-based fair value for TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is ₹6.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹19.50.
What is the quality score of TOKYOFIN?
TOKYO FINANCE LTD. has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹6.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹2.44, optimistic scenario ₹8.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TOKYO FINANCE LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹6.91, about −65% upside versus a price of ₹19.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹2.44, optimistic scenario ₹8.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
TOKYO FINANCE LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.5M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TOKYO FINANCE LTD. it is ₹6.91 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹19.50. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TOKYO FINANCE LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TOKYOFIN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹19.50, fair value ₹6.91, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TOKYOFIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹19.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹6.91). For TOKYO FINANCE LTD. the two are ₹12.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TOKYO FINANCE LTD. worth?
The market values TOKYO FINANCE LTD. at about ₹136M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹19.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹6.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TOKYOFIN?
Our models span a range for TOKYO FINANCE LTD.: cautious scenario ₹2.44, base ₹6.91, optimistic ₹8.96 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹19.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TOKYOFIN?
TOKYO FINANCE LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 69.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹6.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 15.6, EV/EBITDA 76.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 1.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TOKYOFIN from its 52-week high?
TOKYO FINANCE LTD. trades at ₹19.50, about 27% below its 52-week high of ₹26.88 and 12% above the low of ₹17.34 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹6.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TOKYO FINANCE LTD.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TOKYO FINANCE LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹19.50, calculated fair value ₹6.91 (−65%), Quality Score 57/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TOKYOFIN calculated?
We run TOKYO FINANCE LTD. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹6.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. TOKYO FINANCE LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was ₹19.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹6.91, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TOKYO FINANCE LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹8.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (₹2.44 to ₹8.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of TOKYO FINANCE LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
The market capitalisation of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is ₹136M (≈ $1.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is 14.5 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
Earnings per share at TOKYO FINANCE LTD. are ₹0.2800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 69.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
The net margin of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is 20.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
The operating margin of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is 27.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
Revenue at TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is growing +5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN)?
Earnings per share at TOKYO FINANCE LTD. are growing +60.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TOKYO FINANCE LTD. (TOKYOFIN) generate?
The free cash flow of TOKYO FINANCE LTD. is −₹59.0K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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