Titon Holdings Plc (TON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Titon Holdings Plc stock £0.61, price £0.83, upside -26.1%, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.6200 – £1.29 · fair‑value band £0.4000 – £0.6900 · the £0.8250 price screens above the £0.6100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
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Titon Holdings Plc, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies mechanical ventilation systems, and window and door hardware products in the United Kingdom, North America, Europe, and internationally.
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It offers a range of passive and powered ventilation products; and window and door hardware products, including handles, hinges, trickle vents, and locks. The company serves housebuilders, electrical contractors, window and door manufacturers, and construction companies.
It sells its products through distributors under the Titon brand name. Titon Holdings Plc was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Colchester, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Titon Holdings Plc (TON) currently trades at £0.8250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.6100, 26.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £1.09 per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the £0.8250 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.2700, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.4000 (bear) to £0.6900 (bull), the price of £0.8250 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Titon Holdings Plc reported revenue of £15.8M in FY2025 versus £23.4M in FY2021, a compound −9.4%/yr. Reported net income was £280K in FY2025, compounding −27.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap £9.3M Micro · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity −1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% · Operating margin −5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −26%, TON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£0.4000Fair Value £0.6100Bull£0.6900
Price £0.8250 · Upside -26.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.4% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−22.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−23.1% vs −14.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 262 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−26.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets2.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−5.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.84× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.57× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow10.3× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)28· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)13· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Titon Holdings Plc (TON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.6100 versus a price of £0.8250, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TON?
Our model-based fair value for Titon Holdings Plc is £0.6100 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.8250.
What is the quality score of TON?
Titon Holdings Plc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.6100 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.4000, optimistic scenario £0.6900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Titon Holdings Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.6100, about −26% upside versus a price of £0.8250 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.4000, optimistic scenario £0.6900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
Titon Holdings Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £16.2M (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
Does Titon Holdings Plc pay a dividend?
Titon Holdings Plc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.64% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Titon Holdings Plc would have to grow free cash flow by -12.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.2 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TON use?
Our models discount Titon Holdings Plc at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Titon Holdings Plc that is -12.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Titon Holdings Plc (TON) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Titon Holdings Plc grew -5.2 % a year. The price currently implies -12.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Titon Holdings Plc (TON) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Titon Holdings Plc (-12.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.69 %: that much free cash flow Titon Holdings Plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Titon Holdings Plc it is £0.6100 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of £0.8250. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Titon Holdings Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, TON trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.8250, fair value £0.6100, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.8250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.6100). For Titon Holdings Plc the two are £0.2150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Titon Holdings Plc worth?
The market values Titon Holdings Plc at about £9.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is £0.8250; our models calculate a fair value of £0.6100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TON?
Our models span a range for Titon Holdings Plc: cautious scenario £0.4000, base £0.6100, optimistic £0.6900 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price £0.8250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Titon Holdings Plc (as of Oct 24, 2026): return on equity −1.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TON from its 52-week high?
Titon Holdings Plc trades at £0.8250, about 18% below its 52-week high of £1.00 and 14% above the low of £0.7250 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.6100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Titon Holdings Plc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Titon Holdings Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price £0.8250, calculated fair value £0.6100 (−26%), Quality Score 71/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TON calculated?
We run Titon Holdings Plc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.6100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Titon Holdings Plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was £0.8250. Our model-based fair value is £0.6100, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Titon Holdings Plc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.6900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Titon Holdings Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The market capitalisation of Titon Holdings Plc is £9.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Titon Holdings Plc is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
Earnings per share at Titon Holdings Plc are £−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The dividend yield of Titon Holdings Plc is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The net margin of Titon Holdings Plc is −0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Titon Holdings Plc is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Titon Holdings Plc is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
The operating margin of Titon Holdings Plc is −5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
Revenue at Titon Holdings Plc is growing +5.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Titon Holdings Plc (TON)?
Earnings per share at Titon Holdings Plc are growing +53.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Titon Holdings Plc (TON) hold?
Titon Holdings Plc holds more cash than debt, £3.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 24, 2026