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TOWA Corporation (TOWCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of TOWA Corporation $8.40, price $13.49, upside -37.8%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · US

TC TOWA Corporation logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

TOWA Corporation

TOWCF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $8.40 · Strongly overvalued (−38%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +0.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$29.49 $7.66 Fair Value $8.40 Mar 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

31‑month range $7.66 – $29.49 · fair‑value band $6.03 – $11.83 · the $13.49 price screens above the $8.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

TOWA Corporation engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of semiconductor manufacturing equipment and high-precision molds in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment, Medical Device, and Laser Processing Equipment.

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TOWA Corporation engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of semiconductor manufacturing equipment and high-precision molds in Japan and internationally. It operates through three segments: Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment, Medical Device, and Laser Processing Equipment. The Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment segment manufactures and sells precision molds for semiconductor manufacturing, molding equipment, singulation equipment, etc.; and provides after"sale services. The Medical Device segment manufactures and sells medical devices and other products. The Laser Processing Equipment segment is engaged in the manufacture and sale of laser processing equipment and provision of after"sale services. Its products also include precision molds, end mills and drill series, TEN-systems, and mold release films. The company was formerly known as TOWA Precision Industries Limited and changed its name to TOWA Corporation in December 1988. TOWA Corporation was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.

Stock analysis

TOWA Corporation (TOWCF) currently trades at $13.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.40, implying the stock looks roughly 60.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $9.28 per share, and 2 of the 21 models we run sit above the $13.49 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.14, and 19 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $6.03 (bear) to $11.83 (bull), the price of $13.49 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

TOWA Corporation reported revenue of ¥54.4B in FY2026 versus ¥50.7B in FY2022, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.6B in FY2026, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $1.5B · P/E ratio 35.5 · P/S ratio 3.00 · EPS (TTM) $0.3800 · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% · Operating margin 18.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −38%, TOWCF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $6.03 Fair Value $8.40 Bull $11.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.11 $2.14 $2.20 79
Growth DCF $2.11 $2.14 $2.20 77
Owner Earnings $4.67 $5.41 $6.67 75
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.11 $2.14 $2.20 79
Owner Earnings $4.67 $5.41 $6.67 75
5Y Revenue Exit $4.74 $6.64 $9.40 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.55 $11.42 $16.50 72
5Y P/E Exit $5.90 $8.62 $11.81 68
10Y Revenue Exit $3.47 $4.85 $6.51 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.16 $7.74 $10.78 66
10Y P/E Exit $4.24 $6.05 $7.96 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.53 $4.37 $5.34 64
EPV $5.53 $6.01 $6.42 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.83 $10.44 $13.04 63
P/S Multiple $4.75 $6.34 $7.92 58
P/B Multiple $4.75 $6.34 $7.92 55
EV/EBIT $12.09 $15.45 $18.82 66
EV/EBITDA $13.14 $16.86 $20.58 67
EV/Revenue $7.09 $9.28 $11.47 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.86 $3.84 $5.73 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.11 $2.14 $2.20 77
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.30 $4.38 $4.23 68
ROIC Compounder $5.53 $6.05 $6.57 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.47 $7.82 $10.17 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 13%

TOWCF screens 61% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 217 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −38% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 23% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 91.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 3.28× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 28.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 66
PAST (return on equity)28 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML €1,507 €1,350 −10%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $472.46 $370.20 −22%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $310.96 $205.76 −34%
KLA Corporation KLAC $188.32 $149.08 −21%
Teradyne, Inc TER $398.69 $66.11 −83%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥349.35 ¥117.08 −66%
Piotech Inc 688072 ¥730.30 ¥322.24 −56%
SJ Semiconductor Corporation 688820 ¥133.57 ¥13.84 −90%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 5,670 TWD 4,864 TWD −14%
Qnity Electronics, Inc Q $124.86 $70.44 −44%

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TOWA Corporation · Fair Value
$8.40 −61%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TOWA Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TOWCF

Frequently asked questions

Is TOWA Corporation (TOWCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.40 versus a price of $13.49, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TOWCF?
Our model-based fair value for TOWA Corporation is $8.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.49.
What is the quality score of TOWCF?
TOWA Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.03, optimistic scenario $11.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TOWA Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.40, about −38% upside versus a price of $13.49 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.03, optimistic scenario $11.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
TOWA Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥54.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TOWA Corporation it is $8.40 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $13.49. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TOWA Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TOWCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $13.49, fair value $8.40, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TOWCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.40). For TOWA Corporation the two are $5.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TOWA Corporation worth?
The market values TOWA Corporation at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $13.49; our models calculate a fair value of $8.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TOWCF?
Our models span a range for TOWA Corporation: cautious scenario $6.03, base $8.40, optimistic $11.83 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $13.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TOWCF?
TOWA Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 4.3, EV/EBITDA 20.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for TOWA Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TOWCF from its 52-week high?
TOWA Corporation trades at $13.49, about 42% below its 52-week high of $23.25 and 16% above the low of $11.59 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TOWA Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TOWA Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $13.49, calculated fair value $8.40 (−38%), Quality Score 45/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TOWCF calculated?
We run TOWA Corporation through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. TOWA Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $13.49. Our model-based fair value is $8.40, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TOWA Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($6.03 to $11.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of TOWA Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
The market capitalisation of TOWA Corporation is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TOWA Corporation is 3.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
Earnings per share at TOWA Corporation are $0.3800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
The net margin of TOWA Corporation is 8.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TOWA Corporation is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TOWA Corporation is 11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
The operating margin of TOWA Corporation is 18.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
Revenue at TOWA Corporation is growing +22.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TOWA Corporation (TOWCF)?
Earnings per share at TOWA Corporation are growing −33.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TOWA Corporation (TOWCF) generate?
The free cash flow of TOWA Corporation is ¥51.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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