Thai Plaspac Public Company (TPAC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 2.8B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +22.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 130% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (18.62 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.36 THB – 17.44 THB · fair‑value band 18.62 THB – 31.04 THB · the 10.80 THB price screens below the 24.83 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Thai Plaspac Public Company (TPAC) currently trades at 10.80 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 24.83 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 129.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Plaspac Public Company generated revenue of 6.9B THB at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 2.8B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 18.62 THB (bear case) to 31.04 THB (bull case); at 10.80 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 130%, TPAC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (34.88 THB) versus Asset-Based (5.95 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Thai Plaspac Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes plastic packaging products in Thailand and internationally. The company offers injection, extrusion blow, and pet moulding, as well as in-mould labelling, and combi cup.
Full company description
Thai Plaspac Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes plastic packaging products in Thailand and internationally. The company offers injection, extrusion blow, and pet moulding, as well as in-mould labelling, and combi cup. The company serves food, beverage, pharmaceutical, personal care, homecare, and industrial sectors. Thai Plaspac Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Thai Plaspac Public Company reported revenue of 6.8B THB in FY2025 versus 5.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 477M THB in FY2025, compounding +32.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +17.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.10 | ¥20.88 | -28% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 | 132.50 TWD | 127.06 TWD | -4% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹206.82 | ₹161.42 | -22% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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