TAURON Polska Energia S.A (TPE) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · PL · Market cap 16.0B PLN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 24.09 PLN to 11.94 PLN (−50.4%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (6.86 PLN to 20.25 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.71 PLN – 11.52 PLN · fair‑value band 6.86 PLN – 20.25 PLN · the 8.89 PLN price screens below the 11.94 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TAURON Polska Energia S.A (TPE) currently trades at 8.89 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.94 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 34.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, TAURON Polska Energia S.A generated revenue of 34.2B PLN at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at 12.6B PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.86 PLN (bear case) to 20.25 PLN (bull case); at 8.89 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 34%, TPE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (32.14 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (2.07 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TAURON Polska Energia S.A., through its subsidiaries, generates, distributes, and supplies electricity and heat in Poland and the Czech Republic. It operates through Generation, Heat, Renewable Energy Sources, distribution, Supply and Wholesale Trading segments.
Full company description
TAURON Polska Energia S.A., through its subsidiaries, generates, distributes, and supplies electricity and heat in Poland and the Czech Republic. It operates through Generation, Heat, Renewable Energy Sources, distribution, Supply and Wholesale Trading segments. The Generation segment is involved in electricity generation through conventional sources, including co-generation, as well as through biomass burning; generation and supply of heat; and generation equipment's overhaul operations. The Heat segment engages in heat generation from heat and transmission and supplies power plants and heat generation plants. This segment also generates and supplies electricity. The Renewable Energy Sources segment generates electricity from renewable energy sources, such as hydroelectric, wind, and photovoltaic. The Distribution segment provides electricity distribution service using the distribution grids; and technical support services related to electricity metering systems, metering data acquisition, and the real estate administration, as well as for the vehicles. The Supply and Wholesale Trading segment is involved in the electricity and natural gas supply; and offers wholesale trade of electricity, natural gas, and derivative products; trading and management of CO2 emission allowances, and property rights, as well as offers services related to street lighting management and maintenance, smart city and e-mobility products, and energy efficiency. The company was formerly known as Energetyka Poludnie S.A. and changed its name to TAURON Polska Energia S.A. in November 2007. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Katowice, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TAURON Polska Energia S.A reported revenue of 34.4B PLN in FY2025 versus 25.2B PLN in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B PLN in FY2025, compounding +76.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.69 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.54 | -11% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €56.80 | €66.19 | +17% |
| BEP BEP | $34.23 | $70.40 | +106% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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