EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Trio Petroleum Corp. $1.21, price $1.61, upside -25.0%, quality 18 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · US · ISIN US89669L2079

TP Trio Petroleum Corp. logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Trio Petroleum Corp.

TPET · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $1.21 · Overvalued (−25.0%)
!Quality 18/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +87.0 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/5)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Trio Petroleum Corp. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$432.00 $1.61 Fair Value $1.21 Apr 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range $1.61 – $432.00 · fair‑value band $0.9010 – $1.80 · the $1.61 price screens above the $1.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

Follow Trio Petroleum in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Trio Petroleum is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Trio Petroleum Corp. operates as an oil and gas exploration and development company. The company's flagship property is the South Salinas project that owns 82.75% working interest comprising approximately 9,300-acre located in Monterey, California. Trio Petroleum Corp. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Malibu, California.

Stock analysis

Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) currently trades at $1.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.21, 25.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.9010 (bear) to $1.80 (bull), the price of $1.61 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Trio Petroleum Corp. reported revenue of $399K in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$7.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $9.4M · P/S ratio 11.0 · EPS (TTM) $−2.39 · Return on equity −29.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −28.4% · Operating margin −606% · Revenue (TTM) $851K · Revenue growth (YoY) +81.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 91% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −25%, TPET screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9010 Fair Value $1.21 Bull $1.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.06 $1.42 $2.12 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.06 $1.42 $2.12 51

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when TPET reaches fair value

Put TPET on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TPET screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

Compare Trio Petroleum Corp. with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 290 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/4 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −16.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 81.2% · Top 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 74
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $127.06 $91.42 −28%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.40 HK$39.91 +71%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.55 $52.31 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $137.76 $165.02 +20%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.84 $33.18 −43%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $46.73 $51.40 +10%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.23 $243.76 +32%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.48 A$23.87 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $50.09 $55.10 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $336.46 $317.06 −6%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Energy stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Trio Petroleum Corp. · Fair Value
$1.21 −25%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trio Petroleum Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPET

Frequently asked questions

Is Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.21 versus a price of $1.61, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TPET?
Our model-based fair value for Trio Petroleum Corp. is $1.21 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.61.
What is the quality score of TPET?
Trio Petroleum Corp. has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.21 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9010, optimistic scenario $1.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Trio Petroleum Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.21, about −25% upside versus a price of $1.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9010, optimistic scenario $1.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
Trio Petroleum Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $851K (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Trio Petroleum Corp. it is $1.21 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $1.61. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Trio Petroleum Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, TPET trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.61, fair value $1.21, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TPET?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.21). For Trio Petroleum Corp. the two are $0.4030 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Trio Petroleum Corp. worth?
The market values Trio Petroleum Corp. at about $9.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $1.61; our models calculate a fair value of $1.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TPET?
Our models span a range for Trio Petroleum Corp.: cautious scenario $0.9010, base $1.21, optimistic $1.80 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $1.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
Balance-sheet figures for Trio Petroleum Corp. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −29.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TPET from its 52-week high?
Trio Petroleum Corp. trades at $1.61, about 91% below its 52-week high of $17.55 and at the low of $1.61 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Trio Petroleum Corp.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Trio Petroleum Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $1.61, calculated fair value $1.21 (−25%), Quality Score 18/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TPET calculated?
We run Trio Petroleum Corp. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Trio Petroleum Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.61. Our model-based fair value is $1.21, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Trio Petroleum Corp. right now?
Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($0.9010 to $1.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Trio Petroleum Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
The market capitalisation of Trio Petroleum Corp. is $9.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Trio Petroleum Corp. is 11.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
Earnings per share at Trio Petroleum Corp. are $−2.39. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Trio Petroleum Corp. is −29.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Trio Petroleum Corp. is −28.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
The operating margin of Trio Petroleum Corp. is −606% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET)?
Revenue at Trio Petroleum Corp. is growing +81.2% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) generate?
The free cash flow of Trio Petroleum Corp. is −$3.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Trio Petroleum Corp. (TPET) hold?
Trio Petroleum Corp. holds more cash than debt, $415K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Trio Petroleum Corp. in the live analysis

One click puts Trio Petroleum Corp. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.