EN DE
Watch Top Gum Industries Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Top Gum Industries Ltd stock ILS 1.61, price ILS 9.20, that is 82.5% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Consumer Defensive Il · ISIN IL0011791428

TG Top Gum Industries Ltd logo Thin data Nov 14, 2026

Top Gum Industries Ltd

TPGM · TA

Far too expensive (fair value 83% below the price), weak company and price moving sideways: meets none of the 3 rules.

Get notified free when this changes
Low debt 
Revenue last quarter +50% vs. a year ago. 
Price moving sideways (no uptrend) 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +31.6 %/yr in USD) 
Fair value 1.61 ILS · Strongly overvalued 
Quality 31/100 
Loss-making · -16.8% net margin (TTM) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/11) 
Narrow moat 18/100
Thin data 
Extreme value
Watch Top Gum Industries Ltd for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

19.74 ILS 4.86 ILS Fair Value 1.61 ILS Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.86 ILS – 19.74 ILS · fair‑value band 1.47 ILS – 1.73 ILS · the 9.20 ILS price screens above the 1.61 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 14, 2026.

Follow Top Gum Industries in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Top Gum Industries is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

TopGum Industries Ltd. develops, manufactures, imports, sells, and markets dietary and nutritional supplement gummies. The company offers women's health, beauty from within, active lifestyle, gut health, and immune support gummies.

Show moreShow less

It also imports and markets other sweets, including chocolate, marshmallows, crackers, chewing gum, and candies products. TopGum Industries Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Sderot, Israel.

Stock analysis

Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM) currently trades at 9.20 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.61 ILS, 83% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 3.02 ILS per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 9.20 ILS price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.28 ILS, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.47 ILS (bear) to 1.73 ILS (bull), the price of 9.20 ILS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Top Gum Industries Ltd reported revenue of $101M in FY2025 versus $33.1M in FY2021, a compound +32.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.3B ILS Small · P/S ratio 9.70 · EPS (TTM) −0.5700 ILS · Net margin −15.8% · Return on equity −20.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.0% · Revenue (TTM) $127M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −83%, TPGM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.47 ILS Fair Value 1.61 ILS Bull 1.73 ILS
Price 9.20 ILS · Downside -82.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 1.47 ILS 1.61 ILS 1.73 ILS 74
ROIC Compounder 1.47 ILS 1.61 ILS 1.73 ILS 72
EV/EBITDA 2.89 ILS 4.02 ILS 5.15 ILS 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 1.47 ILS 1.61 ILS 1.73 ILS 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT 2.14 ILS 3.02 ILS 3.90 ILS 65
EV/EBITDA 2.89 ILS 4.02 ILS 5.15 ILS 67
EV/Revenue 1.39 ILS 2.19 ILS 3.00 ILS 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.9500 ILS 1.28 ILS 1.90 ILS 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 1.47 ILS 1.61 ILS 1.73 ILS 72

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 12
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 15
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 1
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 57
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 18
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 18
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 70
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+70.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2019) → −9.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TPGM screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

Compare Top Gum Industries Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 86 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −16.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 49.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.24× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.32× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.10× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 30.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LOTTE Corporation 004990 22,450 KRW 67,350 KRW +200% vs TPGM
ORION Corp 271560 113,600 KRW 203,315 KRW +79% vs TPGM
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,585 CHF 11,708 +36% vs TPGM
The Hershey Company HSY $174.27 $163.44 −6% vs TPGM
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥11.94 ¥10.76 −10% vs TPGM
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,252 CHF 912.97 −27% vs TPGM
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $67.54 $46.95 −30% vs TPGM
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TR $38.28 $21.64 −43% vs TPGM
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹654.80 ₹289.69 −56% vs TPGM
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥15.86 ¥6.91 −56% vs TPGM

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend StocksUndervalued 52-Week Low StocksStocks for 2027: Large Companies Below Fair Value

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Average Down CalculatorFree calculator
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Top Gum Industries Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Top Gum Industries Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPGM

Frequently asked questions

Is Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.61 ILS versus a price of 9.20 ILS, about 83% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TPGM?
Our model-based fair value for Top Gum Industries Ltd is 1.61 ILS (as of Nov 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.20 ILS.
What is the quality score of TPGM?
Top Gum Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.61 ILS (as of Nov 14, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.47 ILS, optimistic scenario 1.73 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Top Gum Industries Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.61 ILS, about 83% lower versus a price of 9.20 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.47 ILS, optimistic scenario 1.73 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
Top Gum Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $127M (latest available figure, as of Nov 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Top Gum Industries Ltd it is 1.61 ILS per share (as of Nov 14, 2026), against a price of 9.20 ILS. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Top Gum Industries Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, TPGM trades above its calculated fair value: price 9.20 ILS, fair value 1.61 ILS, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TPGM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9.20 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.61 ILS). For Top Gum Industries Ltd the two are 7.59 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Top Gum Industries Ltd worth?
The market values Top Gum Industries Ltd at about 1.3B ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 14, 2026). Per share that is 9.20 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 1.61 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TPGM?
Our models span a range for Top Gum Industries Ltd: cautious scenario 1.47 ILS, base 1.61 ILS, optimistic 1.73 ILS per share (as of Nov 14, 2026, price 9.20 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Top Gum Industries Ltd (as of Nov 14, 2026): return on equity −20.0%, debt of 0.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TPGM from its 52-week high?
Top Gum Industries Ltd trades at 9.20 ILS, about 53% below its 52-week high of 19.74 ILS and 12% above the low of 8.19 ILS (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.61 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Top Gum Industries Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Top Gum Industries Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 14, 2026: price 9.20 ILS, calculated fair value 1.61 ILS (−83%), Quality Score 31/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TPGM calculated?
We run Top Gum Industries Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 1.61 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Top Gum Industries Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was 9.20 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 1.61 ILS, about 83% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Top Gum Industries Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.73 ILS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Top Gum Industries Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
The market capitalisation of Top Gum Industries Ltd is 1.3B ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Top Gum Industries Ltd is 9.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
Earnings per share at Top Gum Industries Ltd are −0.5700 ILS. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
The net margin of Top Gum Industries Ltd is −15.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Top Gum Industries Ltd is −20.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Top Gum Industries Ltd is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
The operating margin of Top Gum Industries Ltd is 0.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
Revenue at Top Gum Industries Ltd is growing +49.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM)?
Earnings per share at Top Gum Industries Ltd are growing −50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM) generate?
The free cash flow of Top Gum Industries Ltd is −$9.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Top Gum Industries Ltd (TPGM) carry?
The net debt of Top Gum Industries Ltd is $19.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Watch Top Gum Industries Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Top Gum Industries Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.