Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc (TR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc $22.28, price $37.99, upside -41.4%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc
TR · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.70 – $44.70 · fair‑value band $15.60 – $29.13 · the $37.99 price screens above the $22.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells confectionery products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.
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Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells confectionery products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company sells its products under the Tootsie Roll, Tootsie Fruit Roll, Tootsie Pops, Tootsie Mini Pops, Child's Play, Caramel Apple Pops, Charms, Blow-Pop, Charms Mini Pops, Cella's, Dots, Junior Mints, Charleston Chew, Sugar Daddy, Sugar Babies, Andes, Fluffy Stuff, Dubble Bubble, Razzles, Cry Baby, Nik-L-Nip, And Tutsi Pop trademarks. It sells its products directly to wholesale distributors of candy, food and groceries, supermarkets, variety stores, dollar stores, chain grocers, drug chains, discount chains, cooperative grocery associations, mass merchandisers, warehouse and membership club stores, vending machine operators, e-commerce merchants, on-line marketplaces, the U.S. military and fund-raising charitable organizations, as well as through food and grocery brokers. Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
Stock analysis
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc (TR) currently trades at $37.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.28, 41.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $22.41 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the $37.99 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.65, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $15.60 (bear) to $29.13 (bull), the price of $37.99 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc reported revenue of $733M in FY2025 versus $571M in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $100M in FY2025, compounding +11.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B · P/E ratio 27.9 · P/S ratio 3.81 · EPS (TTM) $1.33 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 13.7% · Return on equity 10.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −41%, TR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 22 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
TR screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →
Compare Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $57.82 | $29.03 | −50% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $161.41 | $90.80 | −44% |
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP | CHF 7,540 | CHF 11,708 | +55% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,062 | CHF 654.80 | −38% |
| Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 | ¥14.75 | ¥10.01 | −32% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 106,900 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +90% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.76 | ¥8.53 | −55% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹649.05 | ₹160.97 | −75% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 23,000 KRW | 51,062 KRW | +122% |
| Guan Chong Berhad, 5102 | 1.29 MYR | 2.54 MYR | +97% |
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Key figures of Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc
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