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Topaz Energy Corp (TPZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$5.0B

TE Topaz Energy Corp TPZ · TO
PriceC$30.50
Fair ValueC$9.21
Upside-69.8%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range C$8.45 – C$12.69

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from C$13.58 to C$9.21 (−32.2%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −6.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$34.35 C$24.45 Fair Value C$9.21 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range C$24.45 – C$34.35 · fair‑value band C$8.45 – C$12.69 · the C$30.50 price screens above the C$9.21 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Topaz Energy Corp (TPZ) currently trades at C$30.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$9.21 — implying the stock looks roughly 69.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Topaz Energy Corp generated revenue of C$154M at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at C$570M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$154M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6%
Net margin 15.1%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow C$303M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.3
More key figures
Operating margin 52.7%
EPS (TTM) C$0.8700
EPS growth (YoY) +22.2%
Net debt C$570M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Topaz Energy Corp. operates as a royalty and infrastructure energy company in Canada. It operates through Royalty Production and Infrastructure segments. The company holds royalty interests on approximately 9 million gross acres of developed and undeveloped lands. It is also involved in operating natural gas processing facilities; and associated crude oil and condensate handling facilities, as well as water management infrastructure. The company was formerly known as Exshaw Oil Corp. and changed its name to Topaz Energy Corp. in November 2019. Topaz Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Calgary, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Topaz Energy Corp reported revenue of C$325M in FY2025 versus C$212M in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$129M in FY2025, compounding +47.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +11.3%/yr
FY21 C$212M
FY22 C$370M
FY23 C$321M
FY24 C$312M
FY25 C$325M
Net income +47.0%/yr
FY21 C$27.6M
FY22 C$99.4M
FY23 C$47.6M
FY24 C$46.4M
FY25 C$129M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Topaz Energy Corp (TPZ) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$9.21 versus a price of C$30.50 — about −70% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TPZ?
Our 21-model fair value for Topaz Energy Corp is C$9.21 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$30.50.
What is the quality score of TPZ?
Topaz Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Topaz Energy Corp (TPZ)?
Topaz Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$154M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TPZ?
The net profit margin of Topaz Energy Corp is about 15.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.