Train Alliance AB (TRAIN-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 551M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from kr 5.39 to kr 14.76 (+173.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −68.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range kr 6.34 – kr 20.70 · fair‑value band kr 6.49 – kr 17.15 · the kr 6.46 price screens below the kr 14.76 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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Train Alliance AB (TRAIN-B) currently trades at kr 6.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 14.76, implying the stock looks roughly 128.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Train Alliance AB generated revenue of 295M SEK at a net margin of 33.2%. Revenue grew 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at 459M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 6.49 (bear case) to kr 17.15 (bull case); at kr 6.46, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 128%, TRAIN-B screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Train Alliance AB (publ) provides railway facilities in Sweden. It acquires land and develops it to be railway-ready, as well as constructs railways and railway-related infrastructure. The company was formerly known as Train Alliance Sweden AB (publ) and changed its name to Train Alliance AB (publ) in July 2024. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Hallsberg, Sweden.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Train Alliance AB reported revenue of kr 295M in FY2025 versus kr 125M in FY2021, a compound +23.9%/yr. Reported net income was kr 97.8M in FY2025, compounding +49.9%/yr from FY2021.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.