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Trelleborg AB (TREL-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 90.8B SEK (≈ $9.5B) · ISIN SE0000114837

What is Trelleborg AB really worth?

TA Trelleborg AB TREL-B · ST
Pricekr 451.40
Fair Valuekr 311.23
Upside−31.1%
Quality70/100

A solid business, but trading 45% above our fair value of kr 311.23.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 10.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.9 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 54/100

For context

·1.77% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 211.27 – kr 429.77

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +3.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 429.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 211.27 to kr 429.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 451.40 kr 150.86 Fair Value kr 311.23 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 150.86 – kr 451.40 · fair‑value band kr 211.27 – kr 429.77 · the kr 451.40 price screens above the kr 311.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Trelleborg AB (TREL-B) currently trades at kr 451.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 311.23, implying the stock looks roughly 45.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 314.61 per share, and 3 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 451.40 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 125.84, and 19 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Trelleborg AB generated revenue of 34.1B SEK at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at 7.1B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 211.27 (bear case) to kr 429.77 (bull case); at kr 451.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −31%, TREL-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 5.43 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 187.16 kr 263.75 kr 383.80 80
Growth DCF kr 194.16 kr 267.45 kr 376.31 79
Owner Earnings kr 203.46 kr 286.37 kr 416.35 76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 187.16 kr 263.75 kr 383.80 80
Owner Earnings kr 203.46 kr 286.37 kr 416.35 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 193.41 kr 293.76 kr 424.41 72
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 290.08 kr 461.13 kr 663.18 75
5Y P/E Exit kr 222.35 kr 343.86 kr 471.76 71
10Y Revenue Exit kr 183.09 kr 271.21 kr 375.52 67
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 249.08 kr 382.76 kr 541.42 68
10Y P/E Exit kr 207.18 kr 304.60 kr 408.42 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 125.84 kr 245.01 kr 306.41 66
EPV kr 236.64 kr 277.74 kr 313.70 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 291.48 kr 388.63 kr 485.79 63
P/S Multiple kr 235.96 kr 314.61 kr 393.26 58
P/B Multiple kr 235.96 kr 314.61 kr 393.26 55
EV/EBIT kr 399.90 kr 536.51 kr 673.12 66
EV/EBITDA kr 405.53 kr 544.01 kr 682.50 67
EV/Revenue kr 212.66 kr 308.06 kr 403.47 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 93.91 kr 125.84 kr 187.82 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 194.16 kr 267.45 kr 376.31 79
Rev-Margin DCF kr 193.41 kr 296.55 kr 411.39 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 164.45 kr 182.49 kr 281.47 75
ROIC Compounder kr 240.96 kr 293.32 kr 348.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 209.82 kr 299.75 kr 389.67 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 314.61) versus Asset-Based (kr 125.84). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 25.4 as of Jul 12, 2026
P/S ratio 2.66 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 16.04 price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.4
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 49.9%
Net margin 10.5% FY2025
Return on equity 9.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 16.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 34.1B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.9% 3y avg +4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 3.7B SEK FY2025
Net debt 7.1B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Trelleborg AB (publ) provides engineered polymer solutions for seal, damp, and protect critical applications worldwide. It offers antivibration solutions; automotive boots and noise damping; bearings and bushings; bridge expansion joints; cable and rubber compounds; electrical protection; embedded rail systems; and engineered coated fabrics and molded parts.

Full company description

Trelleborg AB (publ) provides engineered polymer solutions for seal, damp, and protect critical applications worldwide. It offers antivibration solutions; automotive boots and noise damping; bearings and bushings; bridge expansion joints; cable and rubber compounds; electrical protection; embedded rail systems; and engineered coated fabrics and molded parts. The company also provides fenders, docking, and mooring; flat gaskets; floatover solutions; fluid handling solutions; grout seals; inflatable products; medical solutions; hoses for milking equipment; and noise and vibration damping. In addition, it offers oil sand applications; pipe repair and seals; rubber flooring and sheeting; sealing profiles and solutions; ship fenders; squeegees; truck and diesel solutions; tunnel seals; and wear protection solutions. The company offers its solutions to aerospace; agriculture; automotive; building, construction, mining, and marine equipment; healthcare and medical; manufacturing; oil and gas; and rail and mass transit industry. Trelleborg AB (publ) was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Trelleborg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Trelleborg AB reported revenue of 34.3B SEK in FY2025 versus 33.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6B SEK in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
34.3B SEK
Latest YoY
+0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.7% (5.9 + 1.8)
Revenue +0.3%/yr
FY21 33.9B SEK
FY22 30.1B SEK
FY23 34.2B SEK
FY24 34.3B SEK
FY25 34.3B SEK
Net income −0.8%/yr
FY21 3.7B SEK
FY22 3.4B SEK
FY23 3.7B SEK
FY24 10.1B SEK
FY25 3.6B SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.1 %

of which total revenue +3.6 % · buybacks/dilution +1.4 %

EBIT margin +3.0 %
Tax rate −0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TREL-B screens 45% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trelleborg AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TREL-B

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 791 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.49× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.67× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.44× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 21
PAST38 · sector 28
HEALTH95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND35 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €289.85 €139.77 −52%
Eaton Corporation ETN $402.78 $168.65 −58%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $995.02 $398.69 −60%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $281.67 $145.84 −48%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.18 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Trelleborg AB (TREL-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 311.23 versus a price of kr 451.40, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TREL-B?
Our model-based fair value for Trelleborg AB is kr 311.23 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 451.40.
What is the quality score of TREL-B?
Trelleborg AB has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Trelleborg AB (TREL-B)?
Trelleborg AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 34.1B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TREL-B?
The net profit margin of Trelleborg AB is about 10.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Trelleborg AB pay a dividend?
Trelleborg AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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