Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0280 – A$0.1450 · fair‑value band A$0.0294 – A$0.0478 · the A$0.0500 price screens above the A$0.0386 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
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Truscott Mining Corporation Limited engages in the exploration and development of gold and base metal properties in Australia.
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Truscott Mining Corporation Limited engages in the exploration and development of gold and base metal properties in Australia. The company holds a 100% interest in the Westminster project, covering an area of 5.96 square kilometers; the North Tennant Creek project, comprising an area of 77.71 square kilometers; and the Barkly project, covering an area of 52 blocks in the Northern Territory. Truscott Mining Corporation Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Nedlands, Australia.
Stock analysis
Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM) currently trades at A$0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0386, implying the stock looks roughly 29.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0294 (bear) to A$0.0478 (bull), the price of A$0.0500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd reported revenue of A$37.2K in FY2025 versus A$10.0K in FY2021, a compound +38.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$291K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$10.3M (≈ $7.3M) · Return on equity −15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.4% · Revenue growth (YoY) +43.2% · Free cash flow −A$385K · Net debt A$178K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at −23%, TRM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0294Fair Value A$0.0386Bull A$0.0478
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3,814.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−155.2% (2020) → −496.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−23% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
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Is Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0386 versus a price of A$0.0500, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRM?
Our model-based fair value for Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is A$0.0386 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0500.
What is the quality score of TRM?
Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0386 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0294, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0386, about −23% upside versus a price of A$0.0500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0294, optimistic scenario A$0.0478. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd it is A$0.0386 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, TRM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0500, fair value A$0.0386, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0386). For Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd the two are A$0.0114 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd worth?
The market values Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd at about A$10.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0386 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRM?
Our models span a range for Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0294, base A$0.0386, optimistic A$0.0478 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −15.8%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRM from its 52-week high?
Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd trades at A$0.0500, about 44% below its 52-week high of A$0.0900 and 25% above the low of A$0.0400 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0386 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Zijin Mining Group, Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Barrick Mining Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0500, calculated fair value A$0.0386 (−23%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRM calculated?
We run Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0386, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0500. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0386, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0478). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
The market capitalisation of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is A$10.3M (≈ $7.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is −15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is −11.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM)?
Revenue at Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is growing +43.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM) generate?
The free cash flow of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is −A$385K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd (TRM) carry?
The net debt of Truscott Mining Corporation Ltd is A$178K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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