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Tetra Tech, Inc (TTEK) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $8.1B

TT Tetra Tech, Inc logo Tetra Tech, Inc TTEK · US
Price$35.44
Fair Value$20.05
Upside-43.4%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.83% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $15.03 – $25.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $27.20 to $20.05 (−26.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +15.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$49.87 $22.49 Fair Value $20.05 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.49 – $49.87 · fair‑value band $15.03 – $25.06 · the $35.44 price screens above the $20.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Tetra Tech, Inc (TTEK) currently trades at $35.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.05, implying the stock looks roughly 43.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tetra Tech, Inc generated revenue of $4.4B at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.7%. Net debt stands at $820M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $15.03 (bear case) to $25.06 (bull case); at $35.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -43%, TTEK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $17.35 $29.59 $48.48 80
Residual Income $6.57 $8.21 $19.54 76
Rev-Margin DCF $18.00 $32.07 $49.43 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $17.35 $30.36 $50.97 38
Owner Earnings $10.56 $19.07 $32.57 31
5Y Revenue Exit $18.00 $32.32 $51.31 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.30 $34.89 $53.87 41
5Y P/E Exit $13.40 $23.22 $33.95 38
10Y Revenue Exit $16.90 $30.03 $49.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.39 $31.83 $51.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $14.63 $23.66 $35.48 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.49 $26.00 $35.35 54
Lynch FV $6.47 $9.24 $12.01 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.47 $9.24 $12.01 46
EPV $14.39 $17.03 $19.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.20 $4.39 $6.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.20 $3.79 $4.63 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.03 $20.05 $25.06 63
P/S Multiple $12.17 $16.23 $20.28 58
P/B Multiple $12.17 $16.23 $20.28 55
EV/EBIT $27.48 $37.41 $47.33 53
EV/EBITDA $22.66 $30.98 $39.30 54
EV/Revenue $18.96 $28.06 $37.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.43 $4.59 $6.86 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $17.35 $29.59 $48.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.00 $32.07 $49.43 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.57 $8.21 $19.54 76
ROIC Compounder $16.14 $21.69 $28.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $11.36 $16.22 $21.09 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($30.03) versus Dividend Discount ($3.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.9%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 25.7%
Free cash flow $439M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.6
More key figures
Operating margin 12.5%
EPS (TTM) $1.67
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,699%
Net debt $820M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tetra Tech, Inc. provides consulting and engineering services focusing on water, environment, and sustainable infrastructure in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG).

Full company description

Tetra Tech, Inc. provides consulting and engineering services focusing on water, environment, and sustainable infrastructure in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG). The GSG segment offers consulting and engineering services, including water resources analysis and water management, environmental monitoring, data analytics, government consulting, waste management, and civil infrastructure master planning and resilient engineering design for facilities, as well as transportation and local development projects primarily to government clients, including federal, state, and local, as well as international development agencies. It also offers sustainable solutions, such as energy management consulting, and greenhouse gas inventory assessment, certification, reduction, and management services. The CIG segment provides consulting and engineering services, including natural resources, energy, and utilities, as well as sustainable infrastructure master planning and engineering design for facilities; and transportation and local development projects to commercial and international clients, including the commercial and government sectors. The company offers early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services; climate change consulting; greenhouse gas inventory assessment, certification, reduction, and management services; environmental remediation and reconstruction services, industrial water treatment and reuse services; and engineering services, such as data centers, advanced manufacturing, security systems, training and audiovisual facilities, clean rooms, laboratories, medical facilities, and disaster preparedness facilities. The company was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tetra Tech, Inc reported revenue of $5.4B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was $248M in FY2025, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.4B
Latest YoY
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+24.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+14.7%
Revenue +14.1%/yr
FY21 $3.2B
FY22 $2.8B
FY23 $4.5B
FY24 $5.2B
FY25 $5.4B
Net income +1.6%/yr
FY21 $233M
FY22 $263M
FY23 $273M
FY24 $333M
FY25 $248M

TTEK screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tetra Tech, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTEK

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −43% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 18.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.10× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 79 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 17 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tetra Tech, Inc (TTEK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.05 versus a price of $35.44, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTEK?
Our model-based fair value for Tetra Tech, Inc is $20.05 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $35.44.
What is the quality score of TTEK?
Tetra Tech, Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tetra Tech, Inc (TTEK)?
Tetra Tech, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TTEK?
The net profit margin of Tetra Tech, Inc is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tetra Tech, Inc pay a dividend?
Tetra Tech, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.94% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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