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Trident Gold Corp. (TTG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Trident Gold Corp. C$0.02, price C$0.19, upside -90.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · CA

TG Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Trident Gold Corp.

TTG · V

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.0170 · Strongly overvalued (−91%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +109.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -148.6% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$0.2400 C$0.0250 Fair Value C$0.0170 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0250 – C$0.2400 · fair‑value band C$0.0085 – C$0.0170 · the C$0.1850 price screens above the C$0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Trans Canada Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas, and mineral resource properties in Canada. It explores for petroleum and natural gas properties, and gold deposits. The company was formerly known as Arctic Hunter Energy Inc. and changed its name to Trans Canada Gold Corp. in January 2021.

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Trans Canada Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas, and mineral resource properties in Canada. It explores for petroleum and natural gas properties, and gold deposits. The company was formerly known as Arctic Hunter Energy Inc. and changed its name to Trans Canada Gold Corp. in January 2021. Trans Canada Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Stock analysis

Trident Gold Corp. (TTG) currently trades at C$0.1850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 988.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of C$0.0200 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the C$0.1850 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.0100, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.0085 (bear) to C$0.0170 (bull), the price of C$0.1850 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Trident Gold Corp. reported revenue of C$792K in FY2024 versus C$85.8K in FY2021, a compound +109.7%/yr. Reported net income was −C$513K in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap C$11.0M (≈ $7.8M) · P/S ratio 21.6 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0200 · Net margin −64.8% · Return on equity −90.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.7% · Operating margin −263% · Revenue (TTM) C$510K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 640% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −91%, TTG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.0085 Fair Value C$0.0170 Bull C$0.0170
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder C$0.0100 C$0.0200 C$0.0200 66
EPV C$0.0100 C$0.0100 C$0.0200 64
EV/EBIT C$0.0100 C$0.0200 C$0.0200 63
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV C$0.0100 C$0.0100 C$0.0200 64
Multiples
EV/EBIT C$0.0100 C$0.0200 C$0.0200 63
EV/Revenue C$0.0100 C$0.0200 C$0.0200 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.0100 C$0.0100 C$0.0100 53
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder C$0.0100 C$0.0200 C$0.0200 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 99
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+583.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+109.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−657.0% (2021) → 5.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TTG screens 988% overvalued. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −40% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −149% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −38% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 10.39× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 15.30× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $129.34 $90.15 −30%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.84 HK$39.90 +67%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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Trident Gold Corp. · Fair Value
C$0.0170 −988%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Trident Gold Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTG

Frequently asked questions

Is Trident Gold Corp. (TTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0170 versus a price of C$0.1850, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTG?
Our model-based fair value for Trident Gold Corp. is C$0.0170 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.1850.
What is the quality score of TTG?
Trident Gold Corp. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0170 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0085, optimistic scenario C$0.0170. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Trident Gold Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0170, about −91% upside versus a price of C$0.1850 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0085, optimistic scenario C$0.0170. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
Trident Gold Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$510K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Trident Gold Corp. it is C$0.0170 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.1850. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Trident Gold Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TTG trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.1850, fair value C$0.0170, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.1850); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0170). For Trident Gold Corp. the two are C$0.1680 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Trident Gold Corp. worth?
The market values Trident Gold Corp. at about C$11.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.1850; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0170 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTG?
Our models span a range for Trident Gold Corp.: cautious scenario C$0.0085, base C$0.0170, optimistic C$0.0170 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.1850). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Trident Gold Corp. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −90.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTG from its 52-week high?
Trident Gold Corp. trades at C$0.1850, about 23% below its 52-week high of C$0.2400 and 640% above the low of C$0.0250 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0170 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Trident Gold Corp.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Trident Gold Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.1850, calculated fair value C$0.0170 (−91%), Quality Score 49/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTG calculated?
We run Trident Gold Corp. through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0170, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Trident Gold Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$0.1850. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0170, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Trident Gold Corp. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0170). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (C$0.0085 to C$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Trident Gold Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
The market capitalisation of Trident Gold Corp. is C$11.0M (≈ $7.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Trident Gold Corp. is 21.6 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
Earnings per share at Trident Gold Corp. are C$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
The net margin of Trident Gold Corp. is −64.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Trident Gold Corp. is −90.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Trident Gold Corp. is −18.7% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
The operating margin of Trident Gold Corp. is −263% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Trident Gold Corp. (TTG)?
Revenue at Trident Gold Corp. is growing −38.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +110%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Trident Gold Corp. (TTG) generate?
The free cash flow of Trident Gold Corp. is −C$303K (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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