Trans Canada Gold Corp (TTG) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$5.9M
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +9.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0170). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$0.0085 to C$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0250 – C$0.2450 · fair‑value band C$0.0085 – C$0.0170 · the C$0.1200 price screens above the C$0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Trans Canada Gold Corp (TTG) currently trades at C$0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 85.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at C$510K. Revenue declined 38.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -90.8%. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.0085 (bear case) to C$0.0170 (bull case); at C$0.1200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 380% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -86%, TTG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$0.0200) versus Earnings-Based (C$0.0100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trans Canada Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas, and mineral resource properties in Canada. It explores for petroleum and natural gas properties, and gold deposits. The company was formerly known as Arctic Hunter Energy Inc. and changed its name to Trans Canada Gold Corp. in January 2021.
Full company description
Trans Canada Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas, and mineral resource properties in Canada. It explores for petroleum and natural gas properties, and gold deposits. The company was formerly known as Arctic Hunter Energy Inc. and changed its name to Trans Canada Gold Corp. in January 2021. Trans Canada Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Trans Canada Gold Corp reported revenue of C$792K in FY2024 versus C$85.8K in FY2021, a compound +109.7%/yr. Reported net income was −C$513K in FY2024.
TTG screens 86% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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