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Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tile Shop Holdings Inc stock $1.48, price $1.90, that is 21.9% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

TS Tile Shop Holdings Inc logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Tile Shop Holdings Inc

TTSH · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 22% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 46/100
Profit last quarter 68% below a year ago.
Fair value $1.48 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -1.3% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.01 $1.64 Fair Value $1.48 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.64 – $8.01 · fair‑value band $1.10 – $2.20 · the $1.90 price screens above the $1.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Tile Shop Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of man-made and natural stone tiles, vinyl tiles, setting and maintenance materials, and related accessories in the United States.

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The company offers natural stone products, including marble, travertine, granite, quartz, sandstone, slate, and onyx tiles; and man-made products comprises ceramic, porcelain, glass, cement, wood look, and metal and luxury vinyl tile.

It also manufactures setting and maintenance materials, such as thinset, grout, and sealers; and accessories, which include installation tools, shower and bath shelves, drains, and related products, as well as work with other suppliers to manufacture private label products.

In addition, the company provides delivery service through third-party freight providers. It sells its products under the Superior Adhesives & Chemicals, Superior Tools & Supplies, Rush River, and Fired Earth brands.

Tile Shop Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Plymouth, Minnesota.

Stock analysis

Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH) currently trades at $1.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.48, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $1.10 (bear) to $2.20 (bull), the price of $1.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Tile Shop Holdings Inc reported revenue of $337M in FY2025 versus $371M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $75.0M Micro · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1000 · Net margin −1.3% · Return on equity −4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5.7% · Revenue (TTM) $337M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −22%, TTSH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.10 Fair Value $1.48 Bull $2.20
Price $1.90 · Downside -21.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $0.0700 62
NCAV (Graham) $1.10 $1.48 $2.20 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $0.0700 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.10 $1.48 $2.20 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 41
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 11
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 35
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 26
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 3
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.4% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.0% (2020) → −1.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TTSH screens overvalued: fair value 22% below the price. Compare with The Home Depot, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Home Improvement Retail · 31 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −21.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −1.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −5.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.86× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 51

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.17 MYR 1.47 MYR +26% vs TTSH
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 7.20 THB 7.87 THB +9% vs TTSH
Home Product Center Public Company HMPRO 6.20 THB 6.32 THB +2% vs TTSH
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $25.14 $25.51 +1% vs TTSH
Byggmax Group BMAX kr 65.60 kr 55.39 −16% vs TTSH
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $224.55 $186.20 −17% vs TTSH
The Home Depot, Inc HD $343.47 $236.72 −31% vs TTSH
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $51.25 $33.31 −35% vs TTSH
Bourrelier Group ALBOU €67.20 €40.04 −40% vs TTSH
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.52 THB 1.70 THB −52% vs TTSH

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Tile Shop Holdings Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tile Shop Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTSH

Frequently asked questions

Is Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.48 versus a price of $1.90, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TTSH?
Our model-based fair value for Tile Shop Holdings Inc is $1.48 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.90.
What is the quality score of TTSH?
Tile Shop Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.48 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.10, optimistic scenario $2.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tile Shop Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.48, about 22% lower versus a price of $1.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.10, optimistic scenario $2.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
Tile Shop Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $337M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tile Shop Holdings Inc it is $1.48 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $1.90. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Tile Shop Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, TTSH trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.90, fair value $1.48, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TTSH?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.48). For Tile Shop Holdings Inc the two are $0.4150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tile Shop Holdings Inc worth?
The market values Tile Shop Holdings Inc at about $75.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $1.90; our models calculate a fair value of $1.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TTSH?
Our models span a range for Tile Shop Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $1.10, base $1.48, optimistic $2.20 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $1.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tile Shop Holdings Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −4.3%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TTSH from its 52-week high?
Tile Shop Holdings Inc trades at $1.90, about 71% below its 52-week high of $6.56 and 16% above the low of $1.64 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tile Shop Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value The Home Depot, Inc, Lowe's Companies, Inc, Floor & Decor Holdings, Mr D.I.Y. Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tile Shop Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $1.90, calculated fair value $1.48 (−22%), Quality Score 46/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TTSH calculated?
We run Tile Shop Holdings Inc through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.48 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Tile Shop Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.90. Our model-based fair value is $1.48, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tile Shop Holdings Inc right now?
Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($1.10 to $2.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH) come from?
Earnings per share at Tile Shop Holdings Inc grew −8.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.6 %, EBIT margin −13.8 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Tile Shop Holdings Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
The market capitalisation of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is $75.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
Earnings per share at Tile Shop Holdings Inc are $−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
The net margin of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is −1.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is −4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
The operating margin of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
Revenue at Tile Shop Holdings Inc is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH)?
Earnings per share at Tile Shop Holdings Inc are growing −68.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH) generate?
The free cash flow of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is −$3.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tile Shop Holdings Inc (TTSH) carry?
The net debt of Tile Shop Holdings Inc is $150M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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